Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Vipshop Holdings Limited's (NYSE:VIPS) Earnings Yet

Published
NYSE:VIPS

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) as a highly attractive investment with its 6.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Vipshop Holdings as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Vipshop Holdings

NYSE:VIPS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 26th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vipshop Holdings.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Vipshop Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 37%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 58% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.4% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Vipshop Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Vipshop Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Vipshop Holdings that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.