Stock Analysis

Could The Market Be Wrong About Signet Jewelers Limited (NYSE:SIG) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

NYSE:SIG
Source: Shutterstock

Signet Jewelers (NYSE:SIG) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.1%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Signet Jewelers' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Signet Jewelers

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Signet Jewelers is:

29% = US$810m ÷ US$2.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.29 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Signet Jewelers' Earnings Growth And 29% ROE

To begin with, Signet Jewelers has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 19% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Under the circumstances, Signet Jewelers' considerable five year net income growth of 56% was to be expected.

As a next step, we compared Signet Jewelers' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 25%.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:SIG Past Earnings Growth May 23rd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is SIG worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SIG is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Signet Jewelers Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Signet Jewelers' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 7.4% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (93%) of its profits. So it looks like Signet Jewelers is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Moreover, Signet Jewelers is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 10% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Signet Jewelers' performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Signet Jewelers is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.