Stock Analysis
Capital Allocation Trends At MINISO Group Holding (NYSE:MNSO) Aren't Ideal
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So while MINISO Group Holding (NYSE:MNSO) has a high ROCE right now, lets see what we can decipher from how returns are changing.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on MINISO Group Holding is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.28 = CN¥2.8b ÷ (CN¥14b - CN¥4.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Thus, MINISO Group Holding has an ROCE of 28%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 12% earned by companies in a similar industry.
See our latest analysis for MINISO Group Holding
Above you can see how the current ROCE for MINISO Group Holding compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for MINISO Group Holding .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of MINISO Group Holding's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 48%, but they have dropped over the last four years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a related note, MINISO Group Holding has decreased its current liabilities to 30% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
In Conclusion...
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that MINISO Group Holding is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 52% over the last three years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for MINISO Group Holding that we think you should be aware of.
MINISO Group Holding is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
An investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of lifestyle products and pop toy products in China, rest of Asia, the Americas, Europe, Indonesia, and internationally.