Stock Analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s (NYSE:ANF) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

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NYSE:ANF

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s (NYSE:ANF) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Abercrombie & Fitch certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Abercrombie & Fitch

NYSE:ANF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 4th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Abercrombie & Fitch will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Abercrombie & Fitch would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 327% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 122% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.02% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Abercrombie & Fitch's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Abercrombie & Fitch's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Abercrombie & Fitch that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Abercrombie & Fitch. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.