Stock Analysis

Investors Holding Back On Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN)

Published
NasdaqGS:URBN

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) as an attractive investment with its 15.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been pleasing for Urban Outfitters as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Urban Outfitters

NasdaqGS:URBN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 12th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Urban Outfitters' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Urban Outfitters?

Urban Outfitters' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 63%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 61% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.6% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Urban Outfitters is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Urban Outfitters' P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Urban Outfitters currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Urban Outfitters that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.