Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI)

Published
NasdaqGS:MELI

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 75.4x MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

MercadoLibre certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for MercadoLibre

NasdaqGS:MELI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 20th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MercadoLibre will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is MercadoLibre's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as MercadoLibre's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 84%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 39% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why MercadoLibre is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of MercadoLibre's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for MercadoLibre with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of MercadoLibre's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.