Ingenia Communities Group

OTCPK:INGE.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.3b

Ingenia Communities Group Valuation

Is INGE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INGE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INGE.F ($3.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($5.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INGE.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INGE.F?

Key metric: As INGE.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for INGE.F. This is calculated by dividing INGE.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is INGE.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio145.4x
EarningsAU$14.02m
Market CapAU$2.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does INGE.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for INGE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.3x
NXRT NexPoint Residential Trust
25.5x-69.2%US$1.2b
CPT Camden Property Trust
38.1x-11.2%US$13.3b
UDR UDR
121.2x12.8%US$16.8b
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities
36.4x0.6%US$19.3b
INGE.F Ingenia Communities Group
145.4x25.6%US$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: INGE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (145.4x) compared to the peer average (55.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does INGE.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INGE.F 145.4xIndustry Avg. 26.3xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: INGE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (145.4x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INGE.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INGE.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio145.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate INGE.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst INGE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$3.51
0%
10.5%US$3.97US$2.62n/a10
Nov ’25US$3.48
US$3.75
+7.7%
10.5%US$4.24US$2.80n/a10
Oct ’25US$3.28
US$3.70
+12.7%
11.8%US$4.24US$2.80n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.58
0%
11.3%US$4.16US$2.75n/a11
Aug ’25n/a
US$3.32
0%
7.5%US$3.60US$2.88n/a11
Jul ’25n/a
US$3.35
0%
8.0%US$3.67US$2.86n/a11
Jun ’25n/a
US$3.34
0%
7.9%US$3.67US$2.86n/a11
May ’25US$2.80
US$3.24
+15.9%
7.7%US$3.62US$2.82n/a11
Apr ’25US$3.08
US$3.24
+5.4%
7.7%US$3.62US$2.82n/a11
Mar ’25US$2.95
US$3.19
+8.2%
6.9%US$3.57US$2.81n/a11
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.96
0%
9.4%US$3.41US$2.56n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
US$2.95
0%
7.4%US$3.23US$2.62n/a9
Dec ’24US$2.61
US$2.73
+4.7%
6.8%US$3.02US$2.46n/a9
Nov ’24US$2.49
US$2.73
+9.8%
6.8%US$3.02US$2.46US$3.489
Oct ’24US$2.67
US$2.80
+5.2%
6.1%US$3.06US$2.51US$3.288
Sep ’24US$2.64
US$2.81
+6.7%
6.3%US$3.08US$2.53n/a8
Aug ’24n/a
US$2.87
0%
6.9%US$3.14US$2.55n/a8
Jul ’24US$2.66
US$2.86
+7.7%
7.9%US$3.14US$2.51n/a8
Jun ’24US$2.80
US$2.90
+3.5%
8.2%US$3.24US$2.54n/a8
May ’24US$2.80
US$2.90
+3.5%
8.2%US$3.24US$2.54US$2.808
Apr ’24US$2.30
US$2.91
+26.6%
8.7%US$3.26US$2.56US$3.087
Mar ’24US$2.64
US$2.91
+10.3%
8.7%US$3.26US$2.56US$2.957
Feb ’24US$3.35
US$3.38
+0.8%
9.5%US$3.83US$2.73n/a7
Jan ’24US$2.80
US$3.27
+16.7%
10.1%US$3.69US$2.63n/a6
Dec ’23US$2.65
US$3.25
+22.6%
10.5%US$3.72US$2.61US$2.616
Nov ’23n/a
US$3.40
0%
12.5%US$3.91US$2.55US$2.496

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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