First Real Estate Investment Trust

OTCPK:FESN.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$390.3m

First Real Estate Investment Trust Valuation

Is FESN.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FESN.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FESN.F ($0.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FESN.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FESN.F?

Key metric: As FESN.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FESN.F. This is calculated by dividing FESN.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FESN.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.3x
EarningsS$62.74m
Market CapS$522.56m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FESN.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FESN.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31x
UHT Universal Health Realty Income Trust
30.9xn/aUS$561.0m
STRW Strawberry Fields REIT
26.5x110.2%US$618.2m
SILA Sila Realty Trust
62x8.4%US$1.4b
NHHS NorthStar Healthcare Income
4.6xn/aUS$148.6m
FESN.F First Real Estate Investment Trust
8.3x-1.4%US$522.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FESN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (30.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FESN.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Health Care REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FESN.F 8.3xIndustry Avg. 26.7xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FESN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the Global Health Care REITs industry average (26.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FESN.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FESN.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FESN.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FESN.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.20
US$0.22
+8.0%
3.3%US$0.23US$0.21n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
US$0.22
0%
2.8%US$0.23US$0.21n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$0.22
0%
2.8%US$0.23US$0.21n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.22
0%
2.8%US$0.23US$0.21n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.21
0%
2.8%US$0.22US$0.21n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.21
0%
1.8%US$0.21US$0.21n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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