Stock Analysis

Assessing VICI Properties (VICI) Valuation Following Recent 4% Share Price Pullback

VICI Properties (VICI) shares have pulled back over the past month, dropping about 4%. This has some investors taking a closer look at the real estate investment trust's valuation and overall business fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for VICI Properties.

VICI Properties' recent 4% dip comes at a time when share price momentum has slowed, with a 1-year total shareholder return of -3.1%. While the stock experienced a period of optimism earlier this year, recent declines indicate that investors are considering growth prospects and risk as the market shifts its attention to fundamentals and valuation context.

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With VICI trading below both analysts' and intrinsic value estimates, yet facing questions over growth, the key debate centers on whether the recent dip offers an attractive entry point or if expectations are already fairly reflected in the price.

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Most Popular Narrative: 19.9% Undervalued

With a fair value estimate of $36.91 compared to VICI Properties’ last close at $29.57, the narrative suggests considerable room for upside. This sets the stage for the core assumptions and catalysts driving the current sentiment and price target.

Structural shifts in consumer spending toward experiences such as travel, sports, group events, and entertainment are expanding opportunities in VICI's experiential and non-gaming real estate segments. This is creating new revenue streams, lowering tenant concentration risk, and providing a long runway for top-line growth.

Read the complete narrative.

What’s fueling this high mark? The numbers behind this call are driven by a bold projection of future revenue streams, shifting margins, and the expectation that VICI’s diversified assets will tap into powerful consumer tailwinds. There is a financial formula at work here that tells a different story for the years ahead. See exactly what it is before the market catches on.

Result: Fair Value of $36.91 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing shifts to online gaming and high tenant concentration could undermine demand for VICI’s physical assets. This could challenge the current optimism around growth prospects.

Find out about the key risks to this VICI Properties narrative.

Build Your Own VICI Properties Narrative

If you think there’s more to the story or want to see how the numbers stack up for yourself, you can craft your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your VICI Properties research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:VICI

VICI Properties

An S&P 500 experiential real estate investment trust that owns one of the largest portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality, wellness, entertainment and leisure destinations, including Caesars Palace Las Vegas, MGM Grand and the Venetian Resort Las Vegas, three of the most iconic entertainment facilities on the Las Vegas Strip.

Very undervalued with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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