Sun Communities, Inc.

NYSE:SUI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$16.1b

Sun Communities Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Sun Communities is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.1% and 4.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.1% in 3 years.

Key information

32.1%

Earnings growth rate

31.75%

EPS growth rate

Residential REITs earnings growth-7.0%
Revenue growth rate4.8%
Future return on equity6.12%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Apr 28

SUI: 2026 Guidance And Investment Capacity Will Drive Measured REIT Upside

Analysts have trimmed the Sun Communities fair value estimate slightly to $142.83 from $143.39, reflecting modest shifts in the discount rate, long-term margin, and future P/E assumptions, while Street research remains broadly constructive with a mix of upward and downward price target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Sun Communities shows a generally constructive tone, with most updates focusing on refreshed models after Q4 results, new leadership, and revised targets that cluster around the current fair value estimate range.
Seeking Alpha Apr 17

Sun Communities: An RV And Mobile Home REIT Outshining In Growth And Ratings

Summary Sun Communities, Inc. is reaffirmed as a buy, supported by robust portfolio growth, high occupancy, and investment-grade credit ratings. Sun Communities benefits from favorable supply/demand dynamics in manufactured housing and RV parks, with a competitive 10-year share price return so far and strong geographic diversification. Dividend growth remains compelling, with a 10-year CAGR of +5% and AFFO coverage near 1.9x, despite a modest 3.4% dividend yield. My price target is $136.20 by Dec. 2027 (+7% upside), justified by improving margins, resilient FFO/NOI growth, and premium valuation. Wall St. also has an average upside target of over 10%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 11

SUI: 2026 Guidance And Capital Deployment Will Support Measured REIT Upside

Analysts have nudged the Sun Communities fair value estimate slightly lower to $143.39 from $143.41. This reflects refreshed models that incorporate a modestly higher discount rate, a future P/E of about 48.6x, and a wave of new and raised Street price targets clustered around $140 to $155.
Narrative Update Mar 28

SUI: 2026 Guidance And Capital Deployment Firepower Will Support REIT Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Sun Communities is essentially unchanged at about $143.41. Analysts are balancing slightly lower revenue growth assumptions with a modestly higher profit margin outlook and a small reduction in the projected P/E multiple, supported by a cluster of recent target tweaks and generally positive ratings across firms.
Narrative Update Mar 12

SUI: 2026 Guidance And Capital Returns Will Support Measured REIT Outlook

Our Sun Communities price target has increased slightly to $143.47 from $140.24, reflecting analysts' updated models around Q4 results, 2026 guidance, and a series of new Street targets clustered in the $140 to $155 range. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Sun Communities clusters price targets in a relatively tight $127 to $155 range, with most updates linked to Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
Narrative Update Feb 26

SUI: 2026 Guidance And Buybacks Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Sun Communities slightly higher to reflect updated 2026 guidance and sector outlooks, including recent target moves in the $127 to $148 range that are tied to refreshed views on revenue growth, margins, and future price-to-earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target adjustments on Sun Communities cluster in the $127 to $148 range, with analysts tuning their models around the company's 2026 guidance and broader real estate assumptions.
Seeking Alpha Mar 25

Bear Thesis Crushed As Massive Deal Leaves Bears Speechless: Sun Communities

Summary Sun Communities sold its interest in Safe Harbor Marinas, significantly reducing leverage and strengthening its balance sheet. This transaction showcases SUI's strong financial management and strategic decision-making. Post-transaction, SUI's net debt to EBITDA drops to 2.5x-3x, making it one of the least leveraged REITs. Despite lower gross revenue, SUI's focus on mobile homes and RV sites enhances its business model and reduces investment risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 26

Sun Communities: Not Your Ordinary Residential Landlord

Summary Sun Communities, a leading REIT in manufactured housing, RV communities, and marinas, is undervalued and offers a conservative upside with a "Buy" rating at $140/share. Despite a sub-3.1% yield, SUI's unique asset mix and historical performance make it a strong investment, with expected 15% annual returns. The company's fundamentals are solid, with high occupancy rates, strategic debt reduction, and growth in earnings and AFFO projected for 2025 and beyond. SUI's valuation premium is justified by its unique assets and consistent performance, making it attractive below $130/share and a bargain under $110/share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 10

Sun Communities Is A Bargain After Bad Quarter

Summary Sun Communities had a disappointing quarter, with Core FFO and annual guidance falling below consensus estimates due to non-recurring overhead expenses and increased property operating costs. Management is aware of the challenges and is committed to addressing underperformance, aiming for a return to growth in 2025. I remain bullish on SUI stock, believing it to be one of the more attractive equity REITs, despite industry-wide challenges from higher interest rates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 23

Sun Communities: Covered Calls Can Compensate Low Leverage (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Sun Communities is a residential REIT focused on Manufactured Housing (45% of rental revenue), Recreational Vehicles (26%), and Marinas (21%). Recent asset sales and share price strength have pushed the proportion of debt in the enterprise value to only 29%, indicating limited benefits from Fed rate cuts. The company confirmed its core FFO outlook for 2024 as the metric does not include one-off gains that will be booked in Q3 2024. The REIT's core FFO multiple and market-implied cap rate are in line with large peers. I think selling covered calls can outperform a buy-and-hold approach. Key risks to consider include limiting your gains with covered calls, as well as the resiliency of strong operating fundamentals such as occupancy and net operating income. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 09

Fun In The Sun (Communities)

Summary Valuation for Sun Communities, Inc. is now more attractive than before, with potential for 15%+ annualized upside, even at close to 20x P/FFO. Sun Communities is a residential REIT with exposure to underappreciated areas like manufactured housing, RV communities, and marinas. The company has not outperformed significantly since the last update, making it more attractive in terms of valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 05

Sun Communities: Growth At A High Price

Summary Sun Communities is a non-traditional residential REIT that focuses on mobile home parks, RV resorts, and marinas. The company has consistently raised rental rates and maintained high occupancy rates, indicating affordability for tenants. Sun Communities has strong revenue growth, cash flow generation, and a history of dividend hikes, but its high valuation may deter some investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SUI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,636401N/A1,0053
12/31/20272,479381N/A9499
12/31/20262,373318N/A8678
3/31/20262,339-61902902N/A
12/31/20252,299-76864864N/A
9/30/20253,237-345833833N/A
6/30/20253,217-79807807N/A
3/31/20252,23829866866N/A
12/31/20242,23514861861N/A
9/30/20242,445168843843N/A
6/30/20242,72827894894N/A
3/31/20242,992-205822822N/A
12/31/20232,247-294791791N/A
9/30/20233,119-126718718N/A
6/30/20233,084-84653653N/A
3/31/20233,038195704704N/A
12/31/20222,937241735735N/A
9/30/20222,807249787787N/A
6/30/20222,559317815815N/A
3/31/20222,351354759759N/A
12/31/20212,246378754754N/A
9/30/20212,092373735735N/A
6/30/20211,811223712712N/A
3/31/20211,514171645645N/A
12/31/20201,383131543543N/A
9/30/20201,301152543543N/A
6/30/20201,263128519519N/A
3/31/20201,274109492492N/A
12/31/20191,251159N/A477N/A
9/30/20191,224140N/A460N/A
6/30/20191,188129N/A424N/A
3/31/20191,148109N/A385N/A
12/31/20181,121105N/A363N/A
9/30/20181,091103N/A333N/A
6/30/20181,03681N/A300N/A
3/31/20181,00273N/A270N/A
12/31/201797965N/A258N/A
9/30/201795556N/A275N/A
6/30/201793750N/A266N/A
3/31/201789031N/A257N/A
12/31/201683117N/A241N/A
9/30/2016781107N/A226N/A
6/30/2016717117N/A219N/A
3/31/2016692137N/A192N/A
12/31/2015673136N/A182N/A
9/30/201562635N/A171N/A
6/30/201557229N/A149N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SUI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: SUI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: SUI is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SUI's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SUI's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SUI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.1%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/26 01:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/26 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sun Communities, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wesley GolladayBaird
Richard HightowerBarclays
Anthony PowellBarclays