NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.

NYSE:NXRT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

NexPoint Residential Trust Valuation

Is NXRT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NXRT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$52.72
Fair Value
24.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: NXRT ($40.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($52.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NXRT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NXRT?

Key metric: As NXRT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NXRT. This is calculated by dividing NXRT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NXRT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22x
EarningsUS$46.39m
Market CapUS$1.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NXRT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NXRT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average66.4x
CPT Camden Property Trust
36.5x-9.8%US$12.6b
UDR UDR
167.8x19.4%US$15.4b
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities
35.4x-1.2%US$18.8b
ESS Essex Property Trust
25.8x-13.1%US$19.7b
NXRT NexPoint Residential Trust
22x-53.6%US$1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NXRT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the peer average (66.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NXRT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NXRT 22.0xIndustry Avg. 25.4xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NXRT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (25.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NXRT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NXRT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22x
Fair PE Ratio16.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NXRT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NXRT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$40.09
US$45.88
+14.4%
9.1%US$50.00US$40.00n/a8
Jan ’26US$41.75
US$47.00
+12.6%
6.5%US$50.00US$41.00n/a8
Dec ’25US$47.07
US$47.13
+0.1%
5.9%US$50.00US$42.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$40.76
US$47.13
+15.6%
5.9%US$50.00US$42.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$43.34
US$47.29
+9.1%
8.7%US$55.00US$41.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$47.30
US$46.00
-2.7%
11.3%US$55.00US$38.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$44.35
US$42.43
-4.3%
15.3%US$55.00US$35.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$39.26
US$38.71
-1.4%
8.0%US$45.00US$34.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$36.67
US$37.43
+2.1%
12.3%US$45.00US$29.00n/a7
May ’25US$34.07
US$37.14
+9.0%
12.3%US$45.00US$29.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$31.57
US$37.14
+17.7%
11.1%US$45.00US$32.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$29.43
US$37.29
+26.7%
10.7%US$45.00US$32.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$31.12
US$39.67
+27.5%
18.3%US$55.00US$32.00US$39.486
Jan ’25US$34.43
US$44.17
+28.3%
24.2%US$62.00US$32.00US$41.756
Dec ’24US$32.23
US$44.17
+37.0%
25.0%US$62.00US$31.00US$47.076
Nov ’24US$26.91
US$47.33
+75.9%
26.2%US$62.00US$31.00US$40.766
Oct ’24US$32.18
US$49.33
+53.3%
20.3%US$62.00US$38.00US$43.346
Sep ’24US$37.29
US$50.00
+34.1%
18.7%US$62.00US$38.00US$47.306
Aug ’24US$40.63
US$52.67
+29.6%
12.8%US$62.00US$45.00US$44.356
Jul ’24US$45.48
US$56.00
+23.1%
19.6%US$70.00US$42.00US$39.266
Jun ’24US$40.66
US$54.71
+34.6%
19.4%US$70.00US$42.00US$36.677
May ’24US$42.36
US$55.43
+30.9%
17.9%US$70.00US$46.00US$34.077
Apr ’24US$43.67
US$55.43
+26.9%
17.9%US$70.00US$46.00US$31.577
Mar ’24US$46.80
US$55.86
+19.4%
17.7%US$70.00US$45.00US$29.437
Feb ’24US$50.63
US$54.86
+8.3%
17.9%US$70.00US$45.00US$31.127
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
US$45.88
Fair Value
12.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/06 06:46
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Amanda SweitzerBaird
Merrill RossBoenning & Scattergood, Inc.
Gaurav MehtaB. Riley Securities, Inc.