NNN REIT Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

NNN REIT is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 2.4% and 4.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 0.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.9% in 3 years.

Key information

2.4%

Earnings growth rate

-0.8%

EPS growth rate

Retail REITs earnings growth	8.6%
Revenue growth rate	4.5%
Future return on equity	8.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

National Retail Properties FFO of $0.79 beats by $0.01, revenue of $193.47M beats by $1.46M, raises FY22 FFO outlook

Nov 02

National Retail Properties: Trades At A Discount, Yields 5.67%, And Has Provided 33 Consecutive Dividend Increases

Oct 10

National Retail Properties: 33 Years In A Row Of Dividend Love

Oct 04

National Retail Properties: Stack This 5% Yield Onto Your Dividend Portfolio

Sep 02

Better Buy: National Retail Properties' 4.5% Yield Or Realty Income's 3.9%

Aug 02

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NNN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	956	416	N/A	N/A	11
12/31/2025	906	386	N/A	N/A	12
12/31/2024	865	390	N/A	N/A	12
9/30/2024	867	395	639	639	N/A
6/30/2024	854	404	624	624	N/A
3/31/2024	839	396	622	622	N/A
12/31/2023	828	392	612	612	N/A
9/30/2023	810	386	604	604	N/A
6/30/2023	799	367	602	602	N/A
3/31/2023	787	343	595	595	N/A
12/31/2022	773	334	578	578	N/A
9/30/2022	762	308	581	581	N/A
6/30/2022	749	298	563	563	N/A
3/31/2022	737	293	572	572	N/A
12/31/2021	726	264	568	568	N/A
9/30/2021	702	255	555	555	N/A
6/30/2021	681	228	543	543	N/A
3/31/2021	665	202	483	483	N/A
12/31/2020	661	210	450	450	N/A
9/30/2020	671	212	452	452	N/A
6/30/2020	681	218	454	454	N/A
3/31/2020	682	247	486	486	N/A
12/31/2019	670	258	502	502	N/A
9/30/2019	656	227	505	505	N/A
6/30/2019	643	242	479	479	N/A
3/31/2019	634	234	485	485	N/A
12/31/2018	623	258	472	472	N/A
9/30/2018	614	293	457	457	N/A
6/30/2018	606	272	N/A	435	N/A
3/31/2018	596	260	N/A	434	N/A
12/31/2017	585	217	N/A	422	N/A
9/30/2017	576	207	N/A	431	N/A
6/30/2017	563	196	N/A	443	N/A
3/31/2017	548	190	N/A	430	N/A
12/31/2016	534	200	N/A	415	N/A
9/30/2016	519	180	N/A	377	N/A
6/30/2016	507	184	N/A	361	N/A
3/31/2016	494	178	N/A	346	N/A
12/31/2015	483	162	N/A	341	N/A
9/30/2015	472	173	N/A	343	N/A
6/30/2015	459	166	N/A	326	N/A
3/31/2015	447	165	N/A	314	N/A
12/31/2014	435	154	N/A	297	N/A
9/30/2014	424	143	N/A	294	N/A
6/30/2014	414	137	N/A	291	N/A
3/31/2014	405	132	N/A	285	N/A
12/31/2013	394	126	N/A	274	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NNN's forecast earnings growth (2.4% per year) is below the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: NNN's earnings (2.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NNN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NNN's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NNN's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NNN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.9%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/23 04:52
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NNN REIT, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Wesley Golladay	Baird
Richard Hightower	Barclays
Nathan Crossett	BNP Paribas Exane

NNN REIT Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

NNN REIT, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

National Retail Properties, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

National Retail Properties, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

National Retail Properties, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

Recent updates

NNN REIT: Valuation Becomes More Tempting

NNN REIT: Portfolio Starting To Show Cracks?

What Has Just Happened To NNN REIT? I'm In

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Second quarter dividend of US$0.58 announced

NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on November 15, 2024

NNN REIT: Collect A 5% Yield From This REIT Powerhouse

NNN REIT, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

Why NNN REIT Remains A Top Income Pick

NNN Is Breaking Out In Anticipation Of The Rate Cut Cycle

Seeking Stability? NNN REIT Will Do The Job, But I Have One Concern

CFO, Executive VP recently sold US$1.1m worth of stock

NNN REIT: Diverse REIT With Well-Supported Dividend

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

NNN REIT: Here's What To Expect From Upcoming Earnings Release

First quarter dividend increased to US$0.58

NNN REIT, Inc., Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on August 15, 2024

NNN REIT, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 01, 2024

NNN REIT: High And Stable Income At A Low Price

National Retail Properties: 5.4% Yield, Upcoming Dividend Hike And Cheap

NNN REIT: Still A Great Buy For Value And Income

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

NNN REIT: A High-Quality REIT To Buy Now On Sale

Upcoming dividend of US$0.56 per share

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.56 announced

NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on May 15, 2024

NNN REIT, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024

NNN REIT: A Good Income Producer At A Slight Discount

NNN REIT, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2024

NNN REIT: This Net Lease REIT Continues To Dominate The Sector

NNN REIT, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering.

NNN REIT: A Better Source Of Income Than Money Markets

NNN REIT Q4: A Wonderful REIT At A Great Price

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

NNN REIT, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.56 per share at 5.4% yield

Third quarter dividend of US$0.56 announced

NNN REIT: A Rare Dividend/Value Pick

NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on February 15, 2024

NNN REIT, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 08, 2024

NNN REIT: A Dividend Aristocrat Worth Buying

Secretary recently sold US$1.6m worth of stock

NNN REIT: This Net Lease King Pays You A Juicy 5.3% Yield

NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Retirement of Christopher P. Tessitore as an Executive Vice President, Appoints Gina M. Steffens as Successor

Forget Bonds, NNN's 6% Yield Is A Great Deal

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Upcoming dividend of US$0.56 per share at 6.4% yield

NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on November 15, 2023

NNN REIT, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 01, 2023

Better High Yield SWAN: Realty Income Or NNN REIT

6% Yielding NNN Hasn't Been This Cheap Since The Great Financial Crisis

NNN: My First 'Buy' In The REIT, Here's Why

NNN REIT, Inc. Appoints Jonathan A. Adamo as Executive Vice President, Portfolio Operations

Realty Income Vs. NNN REIT: What's The Best REIT To Buy Today?

NNN REIT, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering.

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.56 per share at 5.0% yield

NNN REIT: The 5% Yielding Champion For Dividend Investors

NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on August 15, 2023

NNN REIT, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023

NNN REIT: Buy Before The Fed Hits The 'Permanent' Pause Button

NNN REIT, Inc.(NYSE:NNN) dropped from Russell 1000 Dynamic Index

Why Every Dividend Portfolio Needs A Tim Duncan Stock Like NNN REIT

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.55 per share at 5.1% yield

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

National Retail Properties: A Dividend You Can Count On

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

National Retail Properties, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

National Retail Properties Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Upcoming dividend of US$0.55 per share