Stock Analysis

Does St. Joe (NYSE:JOE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that The St. Joe Company (NYSE:JOE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for St. Joe

What Is St. Joe's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 St. Joe had US$498.9m of debt, an increase on US$373.6m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$92.9m, its net debt is less, at about US$406.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:JOE Debt to Equity History January 4th 2023

A Look At St. Joe's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that St. Joe had liabilities of US$75.6m due within a year, and liabilities of US$627.5m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$92.9m as well as receivables valued at US$34.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$575.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since St. Joe has a market capitalization of US$2.29b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

St. Joe has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 12.9 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Also relevant is that St. Joe has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 21% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is St. Joe's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, St. Joe generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

St. Joe's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Looking at the bigger picture, we think St. Joe's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - St. Joe has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:JOE

St. Joe

Operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in the United States.

Solid track record and fair value.

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