Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE): Profit Margin Miss Reinforces Cautious Growth Narrative
Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) delivered mixed results in its latest earnings, with a notable reversal in momentum from previous years. Net profit margins declined to 12.4% compared to last year’s 14.5%, and the company posted negative earnings growth over the past twelve months after growing earnings by 49.5% annually over the last five years. Looking ahead, management expects revenue to rise just 1.8% per year and earnings to grow at 0.7%, both lagging the broader US market. This may weigh on sentiment going forward.
See our full analysis for Apple Hospitality REIT.Now, let’s see how these results compare to what the market and the Simply Wall St community have been expecting. It is time to put the numbers up against the main narratives.
See what the community is saying about Apple Hospitality REIT
Valuation Discounts Widen vs Peers
- The Price-to-Earnings ratio is 15.1x, notably below both its industry (16.2x) and peer group (26.3x). This widening valuation gap suggests Apple Hospitality may be attracting buyers focused on relative value.
- Consensus narrative notes that while shares trade at a comparative discount, analysts expect muted forward growth:
- Revenue is projected to rise just 1.8% per year, and analyst price targets remain close to current trading levels ($12.92 target versus $11.17 share price).
- This setup suggests that despite the discount, market optimism depends on more than just low multiples. Investors want to see momentum in earnings improvement.
- To see what the full consensus view says about Apple Hospitality’s narrative and its fair value gap, check out the story below. 📊 Read the full Apple Hospitality REIT Consensus Narrative.
Profit Margins Face Downward Pressure
- Net profit margins have contracted to 12.4%, with forecasts calling for margins to shrink further to 12.0% within three years. This signals that profitability headwinds are likely to persist.
- According to the consensus narrative, the company’s significant presence in specific upscale segments and regional markets makes it especially vulnerable to operating cost pressures and intense local competition:
- Shifting work patterns, such as increased remote work, could further reduce corporate travel, limiting occupancy and squeezing net operating income beyond current expectations.
- Rising refinancing and capital expenditure costs may add to margin pressure, even as industry recovery remains uneven. This challenges the company to sustain current levels of profitability.
Downshift in Future Earnings and Share Count
- Analysts expect earnings to decline from $181 million today to $179.3 million by 2028, while shares outstanding are forecasted to fall 1.22% per year. This highlights a modest benefit from buybacks amid persistent earnings stagnation.
- As the consensus narrative outlines, this cautious outlook is balanced by some positive portfolio characteristics:
- Low new hotel supply in key markets (60% of properties facing no direct competition within 5 miles) may help offset the drag from weaker demand and protect occupancy rates.
- Capital recycling, such as renovations and asset repositioning, will be crucial for driving ancillary revenue and maintaining per-share value despite subdued top-line growth.
Next Steps
To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Apple Hospitality REIT on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.
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A great starting point for your Apple Hospitality REIT research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
See What Else Is Out There
Muted revenue growth, shrinking profit margins, and soft earnings guidance highlight Apple Hospitality REIT’s struggle to deliver consistent performance in a challenging environment.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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