Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited

OTCPK:WRFR.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.6b

Wharf Real Estate Investment Valuation

Is WRFR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WRFR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WRFR.F ($2.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WRFR.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WRFR.F?

Key metric: As WRFR.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WRFR.F. This is calculated by dividing WRFR.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WRFR.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31x
EarningsHK$1.91b
Market CapHK$59.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WRFR.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WRFR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.2x
CPPT.L Copper Property CTL Pass Through Trust
13.8xn/aUS$904.7m
FRPH FRP Holdings
75.4xn/aUS$568.6m
TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors
75.2xn/aUS$252.3m
NEN New England Realty Associates Limited Partnership
20.5xn/aUS$282.2m
WRFR.F Wharf Real Estate Investment
31x23.1%US$59.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WRFR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x) compared to the peer average (46.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WRFR.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Real Estate Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FPH Five Point Holdings
4.8xn/aUS$509.75m
STHO Star Holdings
1.5xn/aUS$127.20m
STSR Strategic Student & Senior Housing Trust
2.5xn/aUS$41.31m
XIN Xinyuan Real Estate
0.3xn/aUS$14.03m
WRFR.F 31.0xIndustry Avg. 27.3xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WRFR.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (27.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WRFR.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WRFR.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WRFR.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WRFR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.40
US$3.23
+34.6%
19.2%US$4.22US$2.19n/a15
Dec ’25US$2.89
US$3.29
+13.9%
18.2%US$4.22US$2.18n/a15
Nov ’25US$2.96
US$3.37
+13.7%
19.1%US$4.25US$2.19n/a15
Oct ’25US$3.52
US$3.26
-7.4%
16.3%US$3.99US$2.19n/a15
Sep ’25US$2.70
US$3.22
+19.1%
16.8%US$3.98US$2.18n/a15
Aug ’25US$2.58
US$3.73
+44.6%
23.0%US$5.89US$2.18n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
US$4.06
0%
17.0%US$5.89US$2.82n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
US$4.06
0%
17.0%US$5.88US$2.81n/a15
May ’25n/a
US$4.16
0%
16.1%US$5.88US$2.81n/a15
Apr ’25US$3.32
US$4.19
+26.2%
14.2%US$5.88US$3.41n/a15
Mar ’25US$3.33
US$4.41
+32.4%
21.7%US$6.21US$3.33n/a16
Feb ’25n/a
US$4.50
0%
24.1%US$6.22US$2.94n/a15
Jan ’25US$3.34
US$5.15
+54.2%
23.5%US$7.62US$2.95n/a15
Dec ’24US$3.12
US$5.36
+71.9%
19.8%US$7.62US$2.95US$2.8915
Nov ’24US$3.65
US$5.49
+50.4%
17.8%US$7.60US$2.94US$2.9615
Oct ’24US$3.69
US$5.62
+52.4%
16.7%US$7.61US$3.45US$3.5216
Sep ’24US$3.90
US$5.69
+45.9%
15.6%US$7.61US$3.45US$2.7017
Aug ’24US$5.25
US$6.21
+18.4%
10.3%US$7.76US$5.13US$2.5817
Jul ’24US$4.97
US$6.24
+25.7%
10.4%US$7.72US$5.10n/a17
Jun ’24US$4.81
US$6.28
+30.6%
10.5%US$7.73US$5.11n/a17
May ’24US$5.71
US$6.25
+9.5%
11.6%US$7.71US$4.71n/a16
Apr ’24US$5.67
US$6.22
+9.6%
12.0%US$7.71US$4.71US$3.3216
Mar ’24US$5.42
US$5.92
+9.3%
12.4%US$6.88US$4.72US$3.3315
Feb ’24n/a
US$5.79
0%
13.7%US$6.88US$3.96n/a14
Jan ’24n/a
US$5.34
0%
19.8%US$6.91US$3.11US$3.3414
Dec ’23US$4.62
US$4.88
+5.7%
17.8%US$6.20US$3.11US$3.1214

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 10:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/16 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited is covered by 33 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Karl ChoiBofA Global Research
Siu-Fung LungCCB International Securities Limited
Wei OngCFRA Equity Research