Longfor Group Holdings Limited

OTCPK:LNGP.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.1b

Longfor Group Holdings Valuation

Is LNGP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LNGP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LNGP.F ($1.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LNGP.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LNGP.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LNGP.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.6x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LNGP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LNGP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25x
FOR Forestar Group
8.4x1.4%US$1.7b
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle
39.1x23.8%US$8.8b
BEKE KE Holdings
26.2x9.0%US$21.3b
CBRE CBRE Group
26.3x16.1%US$26.1b
LNGP.F Longfor Group Holdings
6.2x4.5%US$86.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LNGP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the peer average (25x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LNGP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LNGP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (27.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LNGP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LNGP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LNGP.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LNGP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$1.77
0%
21.2%US$3.03US$1.22n/a21
Apr ’25n/a
US$1.77
0%
21.4%US$3.04US$1.22n/a21
Mar ’25US$1.27
US$2.27
+79.1%
31.1%US$4.11US$1.14n/a22
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.62
0%
30.2%US$4.46US$1.15n/a22
Jan ’25US$1.60
US$3.17
+98.2%
19.4%US$4.55US$2.24n/a21
Dec ’24US$1.70
US$3.26
+91.7%
17.1%US$4.53US$2.23n/a21
Nov ’24n/a
US$3.36
0%
25.9%US$6.50US$2.17n/a21
Oct ’24US$1.68
US$3.39
+102.1%
24.0%US$6.51US$2.55n/a22
Sep ’24US$2.26
US$3.50
+55.0%
23.7%US$6.53US$2.55n/a21
Aug ’24US$2.42
US$3.95
+63.3%
18.8%US$6.65US$3.01n/a21
Jul ’24US$2.39
US$4.02
+68.1%
18.7%US$6.68US$3.07n/a20
Jun ’24US$1.99
US$4.05
+103.3%
18.7%US$6.74US$3.09n/a20
May ’24US$2.78
US$4.17
+49.9%
19.1%US$6.99US$3.17n/a20
Apr ’24n/a
US$4.17
0%
19.7%US$6.99US$3.17n/a20
Mar ’24US$3.07
US$4.76
+54.9%
24.5%US$7.12US$3.21US$1.2720
Feb ’24US$3.26
US$4.76
+45.9%
23.5%US$7.24US$3.26n/a19
Jan ’24US$3.11
US$4.63
+48.9%
26.5%US$7.09US$2.02US$1.6019
Dec ’23US$2.74
US$4.56
+66.3%
29.8%US$6.95US$1.98US$1.7018
Nov ’23n/a
US$4.45
0%
30.7%US$6.70US$1.91n/a19
Oct ’23US$2.87
US$5.13
+78.8%
22.0%US$7.25US$3.07US$1.6821
Sep ’23US$3.11
US$5.39
+73.3%
21.6%US$7.55US$3.20US$2.2621
Aug ’23n/a
US$6.32
0%
8.3%US$7.71US$5.32US$2.4222
Jul ’23US$4.48
US$6.25
+39.6%
9.0%US$7.71US$5.16US$2.3923
Jun ’23n/a
US$6.28
0%
8.8%US$7.72US$5.16US$1.9923
May ’23n/a
US$6.63
0%
8.5%US$8.15US$5.45US$2.7823

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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