ESR Group Valuation

Is ESRC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ESRC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ESRC.F ($1.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ESRC.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ESRC.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ESRC.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.9x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ESRC.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ESRC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
JOE St. Joe
39.8xn/aUS$3.2b
RMR RMR Group
8.7x-17.9%US$739.6m
FPH Five Point Holdings
3.7xn/aUS$490.7m
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle
31.5x21.5%US$9.5b
ESRC.F ESR Group
30.4x26.3%US$48.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ESRC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ESRC.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ESRC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (27.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ESRC.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ESRC.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ESRC.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ESRC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.32
US$1.98
+49.6%
16.9%US$2.30US$1.30n/a8
May ’25US$1.25
US$1.92
+53.4%
17.8%US$2.30US$1.30n/a11
Apr ’25US$1.10
US$1.92
+74.4%
17.8%US$2.30US$1.30n/a11
Mar ’25US$1.22
US$2.38
+95.1%
17.3%US$3.47US$1.87n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.33
0%
11.5%US$2.78US$1.87n/a9
Jan ’25n/a
US$2.39
0%
9.9%US$2.78US$2.01n/a9
Dec ’24US$1.40
US$2.49
+78.0%
15.8%US$3.47US$2.01n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
US$2.49
0%
15.8%US$3.47US$2.01n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
US$2.49
0%
15.8%US$3.46US$2.01n/a10
Sep ’24n/a
US$2.49
0%
15.8%US$3.46US$2.01n/a10
Aug ’24n/a
US$2.79
0%
12.5%US$3.47US$2.23n/a10
Jul ’24n/a
US$2.79
0%
12.5%US$3.46US$2.23n/a10
Jun ’24n/a
US$2.80
0%
12.4%US$3.47US$2.23n/a10
May ’24US$1.59
US$2.80
+76.2%
12.4%US$3.46US$2.23US$1.2510
Apr ’24US$1.86
US$2.80
+50.6%
12.4%US$3.46US$2.23US$1.1010
Mar ’24US$1.73
US$3.33
+92.7%
9.3%US$3.75US$2.82US$1.229
Feb ’24US$2.10
US$3.64
+73.3%
13.3%US$4.53US$2.82n/a10
Jan ’24n/a
US$3.76
0%
14.7%US$4.53US$2.82n/a10
Dec ’23n/a
US$3.76
0%
14.0%US$4.53US$2.82US$1.4011
Nov ’23US$1.72
US$3.84
+123.2%
11.4%US$4.53US$3.00n/a11
Oct ’23US$2.46
US$3.92
+59.1%
11.3%US$4.53US$3.00n/a11
Sep ’23US$2.60
US$4.02
+54.8%
11.7%US$4.53US$3.00n/a11
Aug ’23n/a
US$4.13
0%
9.7%US$4.53US$3.31n/a11
Jul ’23US$3.14
US$4.20
+33.9%
7.9%US$4.53US$3.32n/a10
Jun ’23US$2.50
US$4.18
+67.2%
8.0%US$4.50US$3.32n/a9
May ’23US$2.70
US$4.18
+54.8%
8.0%US$4.51US$3.32US$1.599

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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