GOLDCRESTLtd Valuation

Is CDCT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CDCT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CDCT.F ($12.72) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($10.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CDCT.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CDCT.F?

Key metric: As CDCT.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CDCT.F. This is calculated by dividing CDCT.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CDCT.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio48.2x
EarningsJP¥1.31b
Market CapJP¥63.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CDCT.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CDCT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.5x
STRS Stratus Properties
129.2xn/aUS$213.6m
AXR AMREP
19.5xn/aUS$186.1m
FOR Forestar Group
7.6x2.9%US$1.6b
STHO Star Holdings
1.8xn/aUS$148.4m
CDCT.F GOLDCRESTLtd
48.2x19.8%US$63.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CDCT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.2x) compared to the peer average (30.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CDCT.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Real Estate Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
STHO Star Holdings
1.8xn/aUS$148.38m
STSR Strategic Student & Senior Housing Trust
2.5xn/aUS$41.31m
XIN Xinyuan Real Estate
0.4xn/aUS$18.24m
ILAL International Land Alliance
0.7xn/aUS$7.82m
CDCT.F 48.2xIndustry Avg. 33.6xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CDCT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.2x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (23.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CDCT.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CDCT.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CDCT.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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