Agile Group Holdings Limited

OTCPK:AGPY.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$499.2m

Agile Group Holdings Valuation

Is AGPY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGPY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGPY.F ($0.16) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGPY.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGPY.F?

Key metric: As AGPY.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AGPY.F. This is calculated by dividing AGPY.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AGPY.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.08x
SalesCN¥44.45b
Market CapCN¥3.61b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AGPY.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AGPY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.9x
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Company
38.2xn/aUS$461.9m
STHO Star Holdings
1.2xn/aUS$148.4m
AXR AMREP
3xn/aUS$186.1m
FOR Forestar Group
1x9.3%US$1.6b
AGPY.F Agile Group Holdings
0.08x-7.9%US$3.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AGPY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AGPY.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Real Estate Industry?

32 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.3x11.1%
AGPY.F Agile Group Holdings
0.08x-7.9%US$499.23m
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle
0.6x6.4%US$13.46b
COMP Compass
0.7x11.5%US$3.61b
AGPY.F 0.1xIndustry Avg. 2.3xNo. of Companies31PS03.67.210.814.418+
32 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.3x38.9%
AGPY.F Agile Group Holdings
0.08x55.1%US$499.23m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AGPY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (2.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGPY.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGPY.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.08x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AGPY.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AGPY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$0.11
0%
14.5%US$0.13US$0.089n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.16
US$0.11
-32.7%
14.5%US$0.13US$0.089n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$0.095
0%
7.4%US$0.10US$0.09n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.086
0%
18.7%US$0.10US$0.064n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.083
0%
17.3%US$0.10US$0.064n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.084
0%
15.4%US$0.10US$0.064n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$0.088
0%
18.7%US$0.11US$0.064n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$0.088
0%
17.1%US$0.11US$0.064n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.10
0%
23.5%US$0.16US$0.078n/a7
Mar ’25n/a
US$0.10
0%
23.5%US$0.16US$0.078n/a7
Feb ’25n/a
US$0.11
0%
20.9%US$0.16US$0.089n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.11
0%
18.1%US$0.16US$0.09n/a7
Dec ’24US$0.12
US$0.11
-4.2%
16.5%US$0.15US$0.10n/a6
Nov ’24n/a
US$0.11
0%
16.5%US$0.15US$0.10US$0.166
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.17
0%
77.4%US$0.50US$0.089n/a8
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.25
0%
49.5%US$0.50US$0.12n/a10
Aug ’24US$0.14
US$0.27
+92.4%
41.3%US$0.51US$0.11n/a11
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.28
0%
36.7%US$0.51US$0.17n/a11
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.30
0%
36.8%US$0.52US$0.17n/a12
May ’24US$0.20
US$0.32
+63.8%
34.6%US$0.53US$0.18n/a12
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.34
0%
32.6%US$0.53US$0.18n/a13
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.37
0%
28.2%US$0.53US$0.20n/a13
Feb ’24n/a
US$0.38
0%
27.6%US$0.53US$0.21n/a13
Jan ’24n/a
US$0.37
0%
30.1%US$0.52US$0.20n/a12
Dec ’23US$0.34
US$0.36
+4.5%
30.7%US$0.50US$0.20US$0.1213
Nov ’23n/a
US$0.35
0%
29.8%US$0.49US$0.20n/a13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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