Stock Analysis

Offerpad Solutions Inc.'s (NYSE:OPAD) Shares Leap 25% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

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NYSE:OPAD

Offerpad Solutions Inc. (NYSE:OPAD) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 59% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Offerpad Solutions may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.4x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Offerpad Solutions

NYSE:OPAD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 17th 2024

What Does Offerpad Solutions' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Offerpad Solutions hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Offerpad Solutions.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Offerpad Solutions' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 44%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 31% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 25% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Offerpad Solutions' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Shares in Offerpad Solutions have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Offerpad Solutions' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Offerpad Solutions that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.