Stock Analysis

Douglas Elliman Inc.'s (NYSE:DOUG) Shares Leap 27% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NYSE:DOUG
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Douglas Elliman Inc. (NYSE:DOUG) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Douglas Elliman may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.4x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Douglas Elliman

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DOUG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 19th 2024

What Does Douglas Elliman's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Douglas Elliman has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Douglas Elliman's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Douglas Elliman's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 25% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 23% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 17%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Douglas Elliman is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Douglas Elliman's P/S?

Shares in Douglas Elliman have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Douglas Elliman's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Having said that, be aware Douglas Elliman is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.