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CBRE Group (NYSE:CBRE): Assessing Valuation as Momentum Slows After Strong Multi-Year Performance
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
See our latest analysis for CBRE Group.
With its share price up 17.5% year-to-date and a 12.2% total shareholder return over the past year, CBRE Group has steadily rewarded patient investors. However, the momentum has cooled from the multi-year climb that saw a 164% five-year total return. Recent weeks of limited price movement may signal a pause as investors reassess growth prospects and valuation after such a strong run.
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With CBRE trading close to its all-time highs and still below analyst targets, investors now face a classic dilemma: is there real value left to unlock, or has the market already accounted for all the company’s future gains?
Most Popular Narrative: 12.9% Undervalued
The latest widely followed narrative assigns CBRE Group a fair value noticeably above its recent close, suggesting there could be further upside as the company capitalizes on its position in the sector.
CBRE's strategic realignment of its Project Management and Building Operations & Experience segments has resulted in strong financial performance and is expected to drive future growth by enhancing operational synergies, including shared client access and opportunities for mergers and acquisitions. This is likely to positively impact both revenue and net margins.
What if one surprising forecast underpins this bold valuation? This narrative hints at ambitious revenue expansion, sharper profit margins, and a decline in share count, all critical to its upside. Ready to see what numbers the narrative is betting on? You will be surprised at just how aggressive some of the projections are.
Result: Fair Value of $175.27 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, ongoing economic uncertainty and potential slowdowns in industrial leasing could quickly challenge even the most optimistic outlook for CBRE Group.
Find out about the key risks to this CBRE Group narrative.
Another View: Are Market Multiples Sending a Different Signal?
Looking at the company's price-to-earnings ratio can reshape how you see CBRE Group's value. At 36.4x, the shares are more expensive than both the US Real Estate industry average of 28.2x and the peer average of 25.4x. The fair ratio, based on underlying company drivers, is 26.8x. This suggests the current price may carry valuation risk if market sentiment shifts. Will investors keep paying up, or could a return to more typical ratios trigger a pullback?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own CBRE Group Narrative
If you see things differently or want to dive deeper into the numbers, you can craft your own perspective in just a few minutes, so Do it your way.
A great starting point for your CBRE Group research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:CBRE
CBRE Group
Operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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