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There's Reason For Concern Over Zillow Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZG) Price
When close to half the companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider Zillow Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ZG) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Zillow Group
What Does Zillow Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Zillow Group could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Zillow Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Zillow Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zillow Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 59% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 33% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Zillow Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Zillow Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Zillow Group, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Zillow Group with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zillow Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zillow Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:ZG
Zillow Group
Operates real estate brands in mobile applications and Websites in the United States.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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