Stock Analysis

Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. (NASDAQ:ASPS) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 29%

NasdaqGS:ASPS
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The Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. (NASDAQ:ASPS) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 73% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Altisource Portfolio Solutions may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Altisource Portfolio Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ASPS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

What Does Altisource Portfolio Solutions' Recent Performance Look Like?

Altisource Portfolio Solutions could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Altisource Portfolio Solutions' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Altisource Portfolio Solutions' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 67% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10.0%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Altisource Portfolio Solutions' P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Altisource Portfolio Solutions' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To us, it seems Altisource Portfolio Solutions currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Having said that, be aware Altisource Portfolio Solutions is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Altisource Portfolio Solutions is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.