Tricida, Inc.

OTCPK:TCDA.Q Stock Report

Market Cap: US$580.0

This company is no longer active

The company may no longer be operating, as it may be out of business. Find out why through their latest events.

Tricida Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Tricida's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -16.8%, while the Pharmaceuticals industry saw earnings growing at 14.8% annually.

Key information

-16.76%

Earnings growth rate

49.64%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals Industry Growth5.95%
Revenue growth raten/a
Return on equityn/a
Net Marginn/a
Last Earnings Update30 Sep 2022

Recent past performance updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Oct 19

Tricida enters $125M debt facility

Tricida (NASDAQ:TCDA) gets into a debt facility of $125M with Hercules Capital, provider of customized debt financing for companies in the life sciences and technology-related markets. Of the $125M, $100M will be available for drawdown at Tricida’s option subject to the achievement of certain milestones. Under the terms of the debt facility, $25M will be available for drawdown until December 31, 2022, subject to the announcement of positive data from the VALOR-CKD trial.  An additional $25M will be available for drawdown until the earlier of ten business days following the filing of the NDA for veverimer and September 15, 2023. An additional $50M will be available for drawdown until the earlier of ten business days following the FDA approval of veverimer and February 15, 2024. The loans bear interest at a floating per annum interest rate equal to the greater of either 8.75% or the lesser of 8.75% plus the prime rate as reported in The Wall Street Journal minus 6.25% and 10.25%.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 21

Tricida: Important Binary Event Coming Up

Summary TCDA has a major binary event next month. Data from VALOR may turn out well given the logic behind early trial termination, prior data and so on. There could be some quick upside in the next 30 odd days. Tricida (TCDA) has been doing wonderfully lately, over the last 12 months, but it is down considerably from its PDUFA highs. That was from two years ago, when I used to cover the stock. I recall buying some TCDA, making good money, and then losing some money on the shares I held on to, because their lead asset veverimer was handed a CRL. The stock is up these days not because the CRL was resolved, but because of a number of other small and large things. Let's first discuss the CRL, though. Then we will see what has been responsible for the stock’s sudden buoyancy. Veverimer is targeting metabolic acidosis in CKD or chronic kidney disease patients. In an earlier trial, after 12 weeks of treatment, TRC101 or veverimer was able to increase blood bicarbonate level of at least 4 milliequivalents per liter (mEq/L) or achieved a blood bicarbonate level in the normal range of 22 to 29 mEq/L in 59.2% patients, compared with 22.5% of them in the placebo group (p< 0.0001). However, one of veverimer’s major problem is the standardly used therapy for this indication, which you can buy in a bottle from a grocery store for a few bucks. This is bicarbonate of soda, and while there have been no industry-sponsored trials for obvious reasons, it has long been used by doctors to treat metabolic acidosis. Its problem is that too much sodium content in the blood can cause heart diseases, which is where veverimer has a great deal of utility with its completely different mechanism of action. However, the FDA was not convinced, and it issued a CRL, asking for, among other things: Additional data regarding the magnitude and durability of the treatment effect of veverimer on the surrogate marker of serum bicarbonate. Whether the demonstrated effect size would be reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit. I discussed all this in an earlier article from two years ago. A summary of the CRL from the company management was here: “According to the CRL, the FDA is seeking additional data beyond the TRCA-301 and TRCA-301E trials regarding the magnitude and durability of the treatment effect of veverimer on the surrogate marker of serum bicarbonate and the applicability of the treatment effect to the U.S. population. FDA also expressed concern as to whether the demonstrated effect size would be reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit,” Tricida said. This was an accelerated approval, and the company was already conducting VALOR-CKD at that time as a confirmatory trial. After the CRL, they said that interim data from this trial could be used to provide the data required by the FDA. This trial was supposed to enroll ~1500 patients and topline in 2023-24. In May, the company did an “administrative stop” to this trial after enrolling 1480 patients last year, and after 237 patients reached a primary endpoint event — end-stage renal disease, renal death, or greater than or equal to 40% reduction in eGFR or estimated glomerular filtration rate — in the renal outcomes study. This was done to conserve their cash reserve, which will be near depleted this quarter. Moreover, the FDA seems to have agreed that this may work. As Phil Nadeau at Cowen explained: Assuming a true hazard ratio ((HR)) of 0.70, the trial would be 78% powered at 250 events. Switching from power to observed HR, VALOR-CKD could be successful at 250 events if the observed HR is 0.78. There is only a modest increase to 0.79 observed HR should 300 events be in the final analysis. This calculation on the observed HR required for significance is based on 300 simulations on trial outcomes.
Analysis Article • Sep 14

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Tricida, Inc. (NASDAQ:TCDA)

Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Tricida, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TCDA ) by estimating the...
Analysis Article • Dec 14

Insider Buying: The Tricida, Inc. (NASDAQ:TCDA) CFO & Executive VP Just Bought 6.5% More Shares

Investors who take an interest in Tricida, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TCDA ) should definitely note that the CFO & Executive VP...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Tricida makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.

Earnings and Revenue History

OTCPK:TCDA.Q Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Sep 220-1343292
30 Jun 220-1483799
31 Mar 220-15337102
31 Dec 210-17738115
30 Sep 210-18138105
30 Jun 210-21958121
31 Mar 210-24477130
31 Dec 200-26590147
30 Sep 200-26899162
30 Jun 200-23583151
31 Mar 200-21363151
31 Dec 190-17746133
30 Sep 190-14634115
30 Jun 190-13126108
31 Mar 190-12021100
31 Dec 180-1031886
30 Sep 180-961581
30 Jun 180-771463
31 Mar 180-601247
31 Dec 170-411136

Quality Earnings: TCDA.Q is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: TCDA.Q is currently unprofitable.

Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TCDA.Q is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 16.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare TCDA.Q's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: TCDA.Q is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Pharmaceuticals industry (-6.3%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: TCDA.Q's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.

Return on Assets

Return on Capital Employed

Discover strong past performing companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2023/06/13 07:03
End of Day Share Price 2023/06/13 00:00
Earnings2022/09/30
Annual Earnings2021/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tricida, Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dana FlandersGoldman Sachs
Jessica FyeJ.P. Morgan
Philip NadeauTD Cowen