Sumitomo Pharma Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:DNPU.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.5b

Sumitomo Pharma Valuation

Is DNPU.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DNPU.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DNPU.F ($3.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($7.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DNPU.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DNPU.F?

Key metric: As DNPU.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DNPU.F. This is calculated by dividing DNPU.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DNPU.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesJP¥342.67b
Market CapJP¥231.62b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DNPU.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DNPU.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.7x
NDOI Endo
1xn/aUS$1.8b
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals
15.2x15.0%US$2.3b
INVA Innoviva
3.4x6.4%US$1.2b
SUPN Supernus Pharmaceuticals
3.1x5.9%US$2.0b
DNPU.F Sumitomo Pharma
0.7x4.0%US$231.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DNPU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (5.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DNPU.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

71 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.3.0x10.2%
DNPU.F Sumitomo Pharma
0.7x4.0%US$1.53b
OGN Organon
0.6x-0.06%US$4.12b
PRGO Perrigo
0.9x3.4%US$3.93b
DNPU.F 0.7xIndustry Avg. 3.0xNo. of Companies70PS048121620+
71 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.3.0x23.9%
DNPU.F Sumitomo Pharma
0.7x88.7%US$1.53b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DNPU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DNPU.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DNPU.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DNPU.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DNPU.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$3.53
0%
23.9%US$4.90US$2.42n/a8
Nov ’25n/a
US$3.47
0%
23.5%US$4.89US$2.41n/a8
Oct ’25n/a
US$3.48
0%
24.6%US$5.20US$2.57n/a8
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.48
0%
24.6%US$5.20US$2.57n/a8
Aug ’25n/a
US$2.15
0%
25.1%US$2.79US$1.23n/a8
Jul ’25n/a
US$2.10
0%
25.1%US$2.72US$1.20n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
US$2.09
0%
22.7%US$2.69US$1.22n/a8
May ’25n/a
US$2.16
0%
18.5%US$2.72US$1.62n/a8
Apr ’25n/a
US$2.70
0%
47.8%US$5.80US$1.67n/a8
Mar ’25n/a
US$2.75
0%
46.0%US$5.79US$1.66n/a8
Feb ’25US$2.79
US$3.26
+17.0%
36.3%US$5.95US$1.71n/a8
Jan ’25US$3.13
US$3.42
+9.4%
34.9%US$6.15US$1.84n/a8
Dec ’24n/a
US$3.24
0%
33.5%US$5.74US$1.72n/a8
Nov ’24US$2.97
US$3.39
+14.2%
28.6%US$5.81US$2.61n/a8
Oct ’24US$3.64
US$3.45
-5.1%
30.4%US$5.88US$2.64n/a7
Sep ’24US$3.72
US$3.65
-1.9%
29.7%US$5.95US$2.67n/a8
Aug ’24n/a
US$4.80
0%
23.3%US$6.70US$3.63n/a8
Jul ’24US$4.37
US$5.52
+26.3%
23.0%US$7.17US$3.80n/a7
Jun ’24US$5.18
US$6.09
+17.6%
21.1%US$7.87US$3.79n/a7
May ’24US$6.21
US$6.92
+11.4%
11.4%US$8.00US$5.45n/a7
Apr ’24n/a
US$6.77
0%
11.6%US$8.10US$5.52n/a7
Mar ’24US$6.38
US$6.96
+9.2%
10.7%US$8.17US$5.57n/a7
Feb ’24US$7.00
US$7.83
+11.9%
11.0%US$9.24US$6.70US$2.797
Jan ’24n/a
US$7.13
0%
10.5%US$8.29US$6.01US$3.137
Dec ’23n/a
US$7.13
0%
10.5%US$8.29US$6.01n/a7
Nov ’23US$6.89
US$7.13
+3.5%
10.5%US$8.29US$6.01US$2.977

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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