Stock Analysis

Nuvation Bio (NUVB) Is Up After Strong IBTROZI Launch and Q3 Revenue Beat – Has Sentiment Shifted?

  • Nuvation Bio Inc. recently reported third-quarter 2025 earnings, highlighting US$13.12 million in revenue and continued market momentum following the commercial launch of IBTROZI for ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer.
  • Strong early uptake of IBTROZI, supported by broad payer coverage and new patient starts, has become a key driver of confidence in the company’s outlook.
  • We’ll explore how IBTROZI’s successful launch and rapid sales growth are reshaping Nuvation Bio’s investment narrative.

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What Is Nuvation Bio's Investment Narrative?

Owning shares in Nuvation Bio means believing in the company’s ability to turn IBTROZI’s FDA approval and commercial launch into sustainable, long-term revenue growth, even as profitability remains distant. The recent third-quarter results, with revenue jumping to US$13.12 million, clearly spotlight IBTROZI’s strong start and its pivotal role as both a near-term catalyst and a signal of traction with payers and patients. These numbers surpassed expectations and appear to bolster analyst sentiment, supporting upward price target revisions and renewed optimism about the company’s lead asset. However, the company continues to report net losses and negative cash flows, and future operating performance will hinge on IBTROZI’s ability to maintain fast uptake, expand globally, and deliver on regulatory milestones. While financial risk remains significant, especially with ongoing R&D investments and reliance on external capital, the earnings beat ties directly into the company’s most important catalyst: real-world commercial execution of its flagship therapy.

But investors should keep a close eye on Nuvation Bio’s persistent net losses and cash burn. Despite retreating, Nuvation Bio's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NUVB Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NUVB Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community see Nuvation Bio’s fair value anywhere between US$0.76 and just over US$19.43 per share. With this broad range of opinions, it’s clear that investor perspectives remain divided, especially as near-term gains from IBTROZI’s launch contrast with the ongoing risk of unprofitability and future funding needs. Explore more viewpoints and assess how these factors could affect performance.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Nuvation Bio - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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