Stock Analysis

Is Emergent BioSolutions (NYSE:EBS) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

NYSE:EBS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (NYSE:EBS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Emergent BioSolutions

What Is Emergent BioSolutions's Debt?

As you can see below, Emergent BioSolutions had US$862.2m of debt at June 2024, down from US$903.2m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$69.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$792.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:EBS Debt to Equity History October 28th 2024

How Strong Is Emergent BioSolutions' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Emergent BioSolutions had liabilities of US$619.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$507.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$69.7m and US$196.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$861.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$482.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Emergent BioSolutions would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Emergent BioSolutions's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Emergent BioSolutions reported revenue of US$1.1b, which is a gain of 2.8%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Emergent BioSolutions produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$190m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$587m. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Emergent BioSolutions (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Emergent BioSolutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.