Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Wave Life Sciences Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:WVE) Massive 43% Price Jump

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NasdaqGM:WVE

Despite an already strong run, Wave Life Sciences Ltd. (NASDAQ:WVE) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 43% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 55% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Wave Life Sciences may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 3x and even P/S lower than 0.9x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Wave Life Sciences

NasdaqGM:WVE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2024

What Does Wave Life Sciences' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Wave Life Sciences as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Wave Life Sciences' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wave Life Sciences?

Wave Life Sciences' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 202%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% per annum during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 17% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Wave Life Sciences' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Wave Life Sciences' P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Wave Life Sciences' P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It comes as a surprise to see Wave Life Sciences trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Wave Life Sciences (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Wave Life Sciences, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wave Life Sciences might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.