Stock Analysis

Companies Like Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

NasdaqGS:VIR
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

See our latest analysis for Vir Biotechnology

How Long Is Vir Biotechnology's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at September 2019, Vir Biotechnology had cash of US$320m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was US$130m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.5 years as of September 2019. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

NasdaqGS:VIR Historical Debt, January 14th 2020
NasdaqGS:VIR Historical Debt, January 14th 2020

How Well Is Vir Biotechnology Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Vir Biotechnology is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 39% in the last year. And we must say we find it concerning that operating revenue dropped 4.0% over the same period. Taken together, we think these growth metrics are a little worrying. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Easily Can Vir Biotechnology Raise Cash?

Even though it seems like Vir Biotechnology is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash to fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$1.6b, Vir Biotechnology's US$130m in cash burn equates to about 8.2% of its market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About Vir Biotechnology's Cash Burn?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Vir Biotechnology's cash runway was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. While we always like to monitor cash burn for early stage companies, qualitative factors such as the CEO pay can also shed light on the situation. Click here to see free what the Vir Biotechnology CEO is paid..

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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