Valneva Valuation

Is VALN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VALN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VALN ($4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($269.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VALN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VALN?

Key metric: As VALN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VALN. This is calculated by dividing VALN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VALN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.9x
Sales€158.54m
Market Cap€307.20m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VALN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VALN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.2x
VNDA Vanda Pharmaceuticals
1.5x18.9%US$296.8m
SGMO Sangamo Therapeutics
7.7x38.0%US$392.3m
AKBA Akebia Therapeutics
2.5x27.1%US$410.2m
CCCC C4 Therapeutics
9.2x31.4%US$309.2m
VALN Valneva
1.9x24.6%US$307.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VALN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (5.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VALN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

129 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.9.4x21.4%
VALN Valneva
1.9x24.6%US$322.02m
GILD Gilead Sciences
4x2.4%US$112.40b
BIIB Biogen
2.4x1.3%US$23.01b
VALN 1.9xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies128PS01632486480+
129 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.9.4x28.3%
VALN Valneva
1.9x4.6%US$322.02m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VALN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (9.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VALN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VALN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ratio2.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VALN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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