Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against REGENXBIO Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RGNX) Share Price Following 26% Dive

Published
NasdaqGS:RGNX

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the REGENXBIO Inc. (NASDAQ:RGNX) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 59% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, REGENXBIO may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 10.3x and even P/S higher than 61x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for REGENXBIO

NasdaqGS:RGNX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 28th 2024

What Does REGENXBIO's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, REGENXBIO's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on REGENXBIO will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For REGENXBIO?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, REGENXBIO would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 15%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 9.5% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 67% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 115% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why REGENXBIO is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Shares in REGENXBIO have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that REGENXBIO maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for REGENXBIO that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.