Stock Analysis

Shareholders have faith in loss-making Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) as stock climbs 3.8% in past week, taking one-year gain to 177%

NasdaqGM:OCUL
Source: Shutterstock

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Take, for example Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL). Its share price is already up an impressive 177% in the last twelve months. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 45% gain in the last three months. Zooming out, the stock is actually down 17% in the last three years.

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Ocular Therapeutix

Ocular Therapeutix wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over the last twelve months, Ocular Therapeutix's revenue grew by 12%. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. So we wouldn't have expected the share price to rise by 177%. We're happy that investors have made money, though we wonder if the increase will be sustained. We're not so sure that revenue growth is driving the market optimism about the stock.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:OCUL Earnings and Revenue Growth September 20th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Ocular Therapeutix stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Ocular Therapeutix has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 177% in the last twelve months. That's better than the annualised return of 22% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Ocular Therapeutix has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.