NextCure Valuation

Is NXTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NXTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NXTC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NXTC's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NXTC?

Key metric: As NXTC is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for NXTC. This is calculated by dividing NXTC's market cap by their current book value.
What is NXTC's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.4x
BookUS$75.59m
Market CapUS$33.61m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does NXTC's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for NXTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
TNXP Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding
0.5x9.3%US$35.9m
ELEV Elevation Oncology
0.5x-16.5%US$36.0m
RAPT RAPT Therapeutics
0.4x-18.0%US$39.2m
CVM CEL-SCI
4.5x22.5%US$39.3m
NXTC NextCure
0.4x5.6%US$33.6m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: NXTC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does NXTC's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

59 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$594.06m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$217.60m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$76.61m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$75.22m
NXTC 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies78PB01.63.24.86.48+
59 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: NXTC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NXTC's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NXTC PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NXTC's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NXTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.17
US$3.33
+184.9%
14.1%US$4.00US$3.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$1.33
US$5.00
+275.9%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$1.31
US$5.00
+281.7%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$1.47
US$5.00
+240.1%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$1.61
US$5.00
+210.6%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$1.50
US$5.00
+233.3%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$1.54
US$5.00
+224.7%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
May ’25US$1.37
US$5.00
+265.0%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$2.31
US$5.00
+116.5%
43.2%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$1.79
US$4.00
+123.5%
20.4%US$5.00US$3.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$1.30
US$4.00
+207.7%
20.4%US$5.00US$3.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$1.14
US$4.00
+250.9%
20.4%US$5.00US$3.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$1.20
US$6.33
+427.8%
7.4%US$7.00US$6.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$1.07
US$6.33
+491.9%
7.4%US$7.00US$6.00US$1.333
Oct ’24US$1.29
US$6.33
+391.0%
7.4%US$7.00US$6.00US$1.313
Sep ’24US$1.42
US$6.33
+346.0%
7.4%US$7.00US$6.00US$1.473
Aug ’24US$1.70
US$4.33
+154.9%
54.4%US$6.00US$1.00US$1.613
Jul ’24US$1.80
US$4.33
+140.7%
54.4%US$6.00US$1.00US$1.503
Jun ’24US$1.68
US$4.33
+158.5%
54.4%US$6.00US$1.00US$1.543
May ’24US$1.56
US$4.33
+177.8%
54.4%US$6.00US$1.00US$1.373
Apr ’24US$1.48
US$5.25
+254.7%
49.3%US$8.00US$1.00US$2.314
Mar ’24US$1.57
US$5.25
+234.4%
49.3%US$8.00US$1.00US$1.794
Feb ’24US$1.63
US$5.25
+222.1%
49.3%US$8.00US$1.00US$1.304
Jan ’24US$1.41
US$5.25
+272.3%
49.3%US$8.00US$1.00US$1.144
Dec ’23US$1.40
US$5.80
+314.3%
22.9%US$8.00US$4.00US$1.205
Nov ’23US$2.50
US$13.57
+442.9%
48.7%US$27.00US$6.00US$1.077

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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