Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against MannKind Corporation's (NASDAQ:MNKD) Share Price

NasdaqGM:MNKD
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.7x MannKind Corporation (NASDAQ:MNKD) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.8x and even P/S higher than 59x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for MannKind

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:MNKD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 15th 2023

How MannKind Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, MannKind has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MannKind will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like MannKind's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 83% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 108% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 44% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 97% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that MannKind's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does MannKind's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of MannKind's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with MannKind (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of MannKind's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.