Moleculin Biotech, Inc.

NasdaqCM:MBRX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.0m

Moleculin Biotech Valuation

Is MBRX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MBRX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MBRX's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MBRX's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MBRX?

Key metric: As MBRX is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for MBRX. This is calculated by dividing MBRX's market cap by their current book value.
What is MBRX's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.1x
BookUS$7.48m
Market CapUS$7.96m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does MBRX's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for MBRX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
SNGX Soligenix
1.4x-12.1%US$8.4m
VINC Vincerx Pharma
0.9x-15.6%US$8.6m
PHGE BiomX
0.5x-24.5%US$10.1m
COEP Coeptis Therapeutics Holdings
1.6x-13.7%US$8.1m
MBRX Moleculin Biotech
1.1x-2.3%US$8.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: MBRX is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does MBRX's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

59 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$594.06m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$217.60m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$76.61m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$75.22m
MBRX 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies78PB01.63.24.86.48+
59 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: MBRX is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MBRX's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MBRX PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MBRX's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MBRX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.62
US$18.00
+587.0%
55.6%US$28.00US$8.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$2.45
US$25.00
+920.4%
20.0%US$30.00US$20.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$2.79
US$25.00
+796.1%
20.0%US$30.00US$20.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$2.55
US$25.00
+880.4%
20.0%US$30.00US$20.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$2.27
US$25.00
+1,001.3%
20.0%US$30.00US$20.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$3.45
US$35.00
+914.5%
30.9%US$45.00US$20.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$4.77
US$35.00
+633.8%
30.9%US$45.00US$20.00n/a3
May ’25US$5.06
US$35.00
+591.7%
30.9%US$45.00US$20.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$5.67
US$35.00
+517.3%
30.9%US$45.00US$20.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$9.16
US$110.00
+1,100.2%
83.6%US$240.00US$45.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$7.75
US$110.00
+1,318.4%
83.6%US$240.00US$45.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$12.88
US$110.00
+754.3%
83.6%US$240.00US$45.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$9.15
US$142.50
+1,457.4%
68.4%US$240.00US$45.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$7.23
US$120.00
+1,559.8%
71.4%US$240.00US$45.00US$2.453
Oct ’24US$6.41
US$120.00
+1,771.3%
71.4%US$240.00US$45.00US$2.793
Sep ’24US$8.28
US$120.00
+1,349.3%
71.4%US$240.00US$45.00US$2.553
Aug ’24US$9.89
US$130.00
+1,213.9%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$2.273
Jul ’24US$8.68
US$130.00
+1,397.4%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$3.453
Jun ’24US$8.58
US$130.00
+1,414.9%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$4.773
May ’24US$11.47
US$130.00
+1,032.9%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$5.063
Apr ’24US$14.40
US$130.00
+802.8%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$5.673
Mar ’24US$18.00
US$130.00
+622.2%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$9.163
Feb ’24US$18.60
US$130.00
+598.9%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$7.753
Jan ’24US$15.90
US$130.00
+717.6%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$12.883
Dec ’23US$21.15
US$130.00
+514.7%
59.8%US$240.00US$75.00US$9.153
Nov ’23US$15.00
US$175.00
+1,066.7%
41.0%US$240.00US$75.00US$7.233

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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