Stock Analysis

Analysts Just Made A Massive Upgrade To Their ImmunoGen, Inc. (NASDAQ:IMGN) Forecasts

NasdaqGS:IMGN
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Shareholders in ImmunoGen, Inc. (NASDAQ:IMGN) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals.

After the upgrade, the ten analysts covering ImmunoGen are now predicting revenues of US$341m in 2023. If met, this would reflect a sizeable 80% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 86% to US$0.10 per share. Yet before this consensus update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$215m and losses of US$0.46 per share in 2023. We can see there's definitely been a change in sentiment in this update, with the analysts administering a sizeable upgrade to this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time reducing their loss estimates.

See our latest analysis for ImmunoGen

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NasdaqGS:IMGN Earnings and Revenue Growth August 6th 2023

The consensus price target rose 17% to US$22.20, with the analysts encouraged by the higher revenue and lower forecast losses for this year. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values ImmunoGen at US$27.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$9.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting ImmunoGen's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 223% annualised growth to the end of 2023 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 16% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that ImmunoGen is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The highlight for us was that the consensus reduced its estimated losses this year, perhaps suggesting ImmunoGen is moving incrementally towards profitability. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. With a serious upgrade to expectations and a rising price target, it might be time to take another look at ImmunoGen.

That's a pretty serious upgrade, but shareholders might be even more pleased to know that forecasts expect ImmunoGen to be able to reach break-even within the next few years. You can learn more about these forecasts, for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.