GeoVax Labs Valuation

Is GOVX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOVX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOVX ($2.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($41.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOVX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOVX?

Key metric: As GOVX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GOVX. This is calculated by dividing GOVX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GOVX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.2x
SalesUS$3.09m
Market CapUS$24.63m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GOVX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GOVX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
PTN Palatin Technologies
7.7xn/aUS$17.9m
BOLT Bolt Biotherapeutics
2.2x22.0%US$21.8m
EQ Equillium
0.6x8.3%US$25.4m
CARM Carisma Therapeutics
1.7x-48.7%US$36.0m
GOVX GeoVax Labs
8.2x67.9%US$24.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GOVX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GOVX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

131 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GILD Gilead Sciences
4x2.4%US$110.46b
BIIB Biogen
2.4x1.3%US$22.73b
MRNA Moderna
2.9x6.8%US$14.22b
INCY Incyte
3.3x8.9%US$13.69b
GOVX 8.2xIndustry Avg. 9.6xNo. of Companies131PS01632486480+
131 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GOVX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (10.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOVX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOVX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GOVX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GOVX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.70
US$14.20
+425.9%
32.2%US$20.00US$8.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$1.92
US$14.00
+629.2%
36.4%US$20.00US$8.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$2.20
US$14.00
+536.4%
36.4%US$20.00US$8.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$4.63
US$14.00
+202.4%
36.4%US$20.00US$8.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$2.11
US$13.00
+516.1%
46.8%US$20.00US$6.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$3.28
US$7.00
+113.4%
14.3%US$8.00US$6.00n/a2
May ’25US$1.45
US$105.00
+7,141.4%
14.3%US$120.00US$90.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$1.96
US$105.00
+5,257.1%
14.3%US$120.00US$90.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$2.54
US$105.00
+4,033.9%
14.3%US$120.00US$90.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$3.32
US$100.00
+2,908.8%
14.1%US$120.00US$90.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$5.41
US$100.00
+1,746.7%
14.1%US$120.00US$90.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$6.21
US$100.00
+1,510.3%
14.1%US$120.00US$90.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$7.65
US$100.00
+1,207.2%
14.1%US$120.00US$90.00US$1.923
Oct ’24US$7.71
US$100.00
+1,197.0%
14.1%US$120.00US$90.00US$2.203
Sep ’24US$8.53
US$100.00
+1,072.7%
14.1%US$120.00US$90.00US$4.633
Aug ’24US$8.40
US$86.25
+926.6%
31.0%US$120.00US$45.00US$2.114
Jul ’24US$8.25
US$86.25
+945.5%
31.0%US$120.00US$45.00US$3.284
Jun ’24US$9.39
US$86.25
+818.8%
31.0%US$120.00US$45.00US$1.824
May ’24US$8.88
US$85.00
+857.0%
36.3%US$120.00US$45.00US$1.453
Apr ’24US$9.97
US$85.00
+752.1%
36.3%US$120.00US$45.00US$1.963
Mar ’24US$10.35
US$85.00
+721.3%
36.3%US$120.00US$45.00US$2.543
Feb ’24US$13.44
US$85.00
+532.4%
36.3%US$120.00US$45.00US$3.323
Jan ’24US$9.45
US$85.00
+799.2%
36.3%US$120.00US$45.00US$5.413
Dec ’23US$11.97
US$82.50
+589.2%
45.5%US$120.00US$45.00US$6.212
Nov ’23US$13.58
US$105.00
+673.0%
14.3%US$120.00US$90.00US$7.652

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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