Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.

NasdaqCM:FENC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$248.8m

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is FENC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FENC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FENC ($9.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($207.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FENC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FENC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FENC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue12.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FENC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FENC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.5x
OCGN Ocugen
59.3x54.5%US$339.7m
TRDA Entrada Therapeutics
3.3x10.4%US$384.1m
CAPR Capricor Therapeutics
6.7x39.4%US$166.0m
GBIO Generation Bio
32.8x2.6%US$188.2m
FENC Fennec Pharmaceuticals
11.6x33.4%US$248.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FENC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (25.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FENC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FENC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.6x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (13.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FENC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FENC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio11.6x
Fair PS Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FENC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.09
US$18.33
+101.7%
11.6%US$22.00US$16.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$10.84
US$18.17
+67.6%
12.1%US$22.00US$16.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$9.82
US$16.40
+67.0%
3.0%US$17.00US$16.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$9.99
US$16.40
+64.2%
3.0%US$17.00US$16.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$11.22
US$16.17
+44.1%
4.3%US$17.00US$15.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$8.65
US$16.17
+86.9%
4.3%US$17.00US$15.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$6.74
US$16.17
+139.9%
4.3%US$17.00US$15.00n/a6
Oct ’24US$7.51
US$16.17
+115.3%
4.3%US$17.00US$15.00n/a6
Sep ’24US$8.37
US$16.17
+93.2%
4.3%US$17.00US$15.00n/a6
Aug ’24US$8.75
US$16.33
+86.7%
5.8%US$18.00US$15.00n/a6
Jul ’24US$8.83
US$16.33
+85.0%
5.8%US$18.00US$15.00n/a6
Jun ’24US$8.05
US$16.33
+102.9%
5.8%US$18.00US$15.00n/a6
May ’24US$7.98
US$16.33
+104.7%
5.8%US$18.00US$15.00US$9.096
Apr ’24US$8.32
US$15.67
+88.3%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00US$10.846
Mar ’24US$9.14
US$15.83
+73.2%
12.3%US$18.00US$12.00US$9.826
Feb ’24US$10.21
US$15.83
+55.1%
12.3%US$18.00US$12.00US$9.996
Jan ’24US$9.60
US$16.17
+68.4%
14.0%US$19.00US$12.00US$11.226
Dec ’23US$9.86
US$16.17
+64.0%
14.0%US$19.00US$12.00US$8.656
Nov ’23US$8.55
US$15.67
+83.2%
20.7%US$19.00US$9.00US$6.746
Oct ’23US$8.10
US$14.20
+75.3%
26.1%US$19.00US$9.00US$7.515
Sep ’23US$7.44
US$10.67
+43.4%
26.9%US$14.00US$7.00US$8.373
Aug ’23US$6.84
US$10.67
+55.9%
26.9%US$14.00US$7.00US$8.753
Jul ’23US$5.71
US$10.67
+86.8%
26.9%US$14.00US$7.00US$8.833
Jun ’23US$5.69
US$10.50
+84.5%
23.8%US$14.00US$7.00US$8.054
May ’23US$5.78
US$11.00
+90.5%
24.4%US$14.00US$7.00US$7.985

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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