ESSA Pharma Inc.

NasdaqCM:EPIX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$76.8m

ESSA Pharma Valuation

Is EPIX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EPIX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EPIX ($1.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($85.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EPIX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EPIX?

Key metric: As EPIX is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for EPIX. This is calculated by dividing EPIX's market cap by their current book value.
What is EPIX's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.6x
BookUS$128.86m
Market CapUS$76.76m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does EPIX's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for EPIX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
CTOR Citius Oncology
4.1xn/aUS$70.6m
ETXP.F e-therapeutics
2.7xn/aUS$76.0m
CMRX Chimerix
0.6x36.1%US$79.1m
OVID Ovid Therapeutics
1x-20.6%US$73.9m
EPIX ESSA Pharma
0.6x43.8%US$76.8m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: EPIX is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does EPIX's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

61 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$507.04m
NKTX Nkarta
0.4x-11.5%US$176.42m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$79.81m
ACET Adicet Bio
0.4x6.7%US$79.69m
EPIX 0.6xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies84PB01.63.24.86.48+
61 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: EPIX is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EPIX's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EPIX PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate EPIX's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EPIX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.76
US$9.50
+439.6%
137.0%US$32.03US$1.70n/a4
Nov ’25US$1.40
US$13.40
+857.3%
82.8%US$31.91US$1.70n/a5
Oct ’25US$5.81
US$20.04
+244.9%
33.1%US$33.14US$15.16n/a5
Sep ’25US$5.59
US$19.35
+246.2%
27.1%US$29.57US$14.98n/a5
Aug ’25US$5.14
US$19.00
+269.7%
26.8%US$29.01US$15.02n/a5
Jul ’25US$5.12
US$19.56
+282.0%
24.7%US$29.00US$15.01n/a6
Jun ’25US$6.75
US$19.55
+189.7%
24.6%US$28.99US$15.01n/a6
May ’25US$6.62
US$19.65
+196.8%
24.5%US$28.97US$15.08n/a6
Apr ’25US$8.42
US$19.65
+133.3%
24.5%US$28.97US$15.08n/a6
Mar ’25US$9.47
US$19.65
+107.5%
24.5%US$28.97US$15.08n/a6
Feb ’25US$8.95
US$19.99
+123.3%
26.2%US$29.03US$15.01n/a5
Jan ’25US$6.60
US$20.34
+208.2%
25.1%US$29.13US$15.68n/a5
Dec ’24US$5.39
US$19.38
+259.5%
24.6%US$27.02US$15.04n/a5
Nov ’24US$4.86
US$19.38
+298.7%
24.6%US$27.02US$15.04US$1.405
Oct ’24US$3.09
US$18.48
+497.9%
26.8%US$26.94US$14.95US$5.814
Sep ’24US$2.92
US$18.38
+529.5%
26.9%US$26.84US$14.89US$5.594
Aug ’24US$2.98
US$19.73
+562.1%
25.3%US$27.64US$15.20US$5.145
Jul ’24US$2.70
US$19.73
+630.8%
25.3%US$27.64US$15.20US$5.125
Jun ’24US$2.99
US$19.32
+546.2%
25.2%US$27.01US$14.86US$6.755
May ’24US$2.70
US$21.51
+696.7%
15.7%US$27.04US$16.88US$6.625
Apr ’24US$2.97
US$21.51
+624.2%
15.7%US$27.04US$16.88US$8.425
Mar ’24US$3.30
US$21.51
+551.8%
15.7%US$27.04US$16.88US$9.475
Feb ’24US$2.76
US$21.50
+679.0%
15.7%US$27.00US$16.88US$8.955
Jan ’24US$2.52
US$21.50
+753.1%
15.7%US$27.00US$16.88US$6.605
Dec ’23US$3.75
US$23.35
+522.7%
6.6%US$24.94US$20.49US$5.395
Nov ’23US$3.60
US$22.60
+527.7%
5.9%US$23.80US$20.02US$4.865

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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