BGM Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of BGM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

BGM ($7.1) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] ($0.1)

Is BGM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BGM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BGM ($7.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BGM is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BGM?

Key metric: As BGM is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BGM. This is calculated by dividing BGM's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BGM's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	1.7x
Sales	US$29.87m
Market Cap	US$50.34m

BGM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-11.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BGM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BGM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	3.4x
CBST.F Cannabist Company Holdings	0.1x	-0.5%	US$52.9m
OPTN OptiNose	1x	27.9%	US$79.9m
VRCA Verrica Pharmaceuticals	10.9x	53.1%	US$89.7m
SCLX Scilex Holding	1.7x	26.7%	US$79.0m
BGM BGM Group	1.7x	n/a	US$50.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BGM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the peer average (3.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BGM's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

70 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
OGN Organon	0.6x	-0.06%	US$4.16b
PRGO Perrigo	0.9x	3.4%	US$3.87b
BHC Bausch Health Companies	0.3x	1.5%	US$2.92b
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals	1x	5.6%	US$2.60b

70 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BGM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (2.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BGM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BGM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.7x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BGM's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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