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Getting In Cheap On Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXSM) Might Be Difficult
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 15.4x Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXSM) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Pharmaceuticals companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 3.1x and even P/S lower than 0.9x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Axsome Therapeutics
What Does Axsome Therapeutics' Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Axsome Therapeutics as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Axsome Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Axsome Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 60% gain to the company's top line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 64% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 16% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Axsome Therapeutics' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Axsome Therapeutics' P/S?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Axsome Therapeutics maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Axsome Therapeutics with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
A biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States.