Astria Therapeutics, Inc.

NasdaqGM:ATXS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$540.6m

Astria Therapeutics Valuation

Is ATXS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATXS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATXS's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATXS's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATXS?

Key metric: As ATXS is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for ATXS. This is calculated by dividing ATXS's market cap by their current book value.
What is ATXS's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio2.1x
BookUS$246.33m
Market CapUS$540.64m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does ATXS's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for ATXS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.9x
SANA Sana Biotechnology
1.8x3.9%US$564.9m
OLMA Olema Pharmaceuticals
2.3x-4.1%US$474.1m
TALS Talaris Therapeutics
3.7xn/aUS$553.2m
MREO Mereo BioPharma Group
7.9x-0.1%US$554.5m
ATXS Astria Therapeutics
2.1x-7.3%US$540.6m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: ATXS is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.1x) compared to the peer average (4x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does ATXS's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

61 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$507.04m
NKTX Nkarta
0.4x-11.5%US$176.42m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$79.81m
ACET Adicet Bio
0.4x6.7%US$79.69m
ATXS 2.1xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies84PB01.63.24.86.48+
61 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: ATXS is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.1x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.8x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATXS's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATXS PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio2.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ATXS's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATXS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.34
US$25.14
+169.2%
21.6%US$35.00US$16.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$11.32
US$25.14
+122.1%
21.0%US$35.00US$16.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$11.43
US$25.14
+120.0%
21.0%US$35.00US$16.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$12.23
US$26.13
+113.6%
21.3%US$35.00US$16.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$11.19
US$26.00
+132.4%
21.5%US$35.00US$16.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$9.25
US$24.71
+167.2%
19.2%US$33.00US$16.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$9.47
US$24.71
+161.0%
19.2%US$33.00US$16.00n/a7
May ’25US$9.50
US$25.29
+166.2%
19.7%US$33.00US$16.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$13.51
US$25.57
+89.3%
17.5%US$33.00US$18.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$14.98
US$20.86
+39.2%
26.8%US$33.00US$17.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$13.56
US$20.86
+53.8%
26.8%US$33.00US$17.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$7.68
US$20.86
+171.6%
26.8%US$33.00US$17.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$4.75
US$20.86
+339.1%
26.8%US$33.00US$17.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$4.76
US$22.43
+371.2%
27.1%US$33.00US$17.00US$11.327
Oct ’24US$7.46
US$24.43
+227.5%
20.4%US$33.00US$18.00US$11.437
Sep ’24US$8.91
US$24.43
+174.2%
20.4%US$33.00US$18.00US$12.237
Aug ’24US$8.64
US$24.43
+182.7%
19.6%US$32.00US$18.00US$11.197
Jul ’24US$8.33
US$24.43
+193.3%
19.6%US$32.00US$18.00US$9.257
Jun ’24US$11.45
US$24.43
+113.3%
19.6%US$32.00US$18.00US$9.477
May ’24US$13.72
US$24.43
+78.1%
19.6%US$32.00US$18.00US$9.507
Apr ’24US$13.30
US$24.43
+83.7%
19.6%US$32.00US$18.00US$13.517
Mar ’24US$12.80
US$25.67
+100.5%
16.9%US$32.00US$20.00US$14.986
Feb ’24US$13.36
US$24.83
+85.9%
17.5%US$30.00US$20.00US$13.566
Jan ’24US$14.89
US$24.83
+66.8%
17.5%US$30.00US$20.00US$7.686
Dec ’23US$11.00
US$21.50
+95.5%
30.1%US$30.00US$13.00US$4.756
Nov ’23US$10.71
US$21.80
+103.5%
32.4%US$30.00US$13.00US$4.765

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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