Alector, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ALEC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$162.6m

Alector Valuation

Is ALEC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALEC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALEC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALEC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALEC?

Key metric: As ALEC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ALEC. This is calculated by dividing ALEC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ALEC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.6x
SalesUS$61.51m
Market CapUS$162.57m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALEC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALEC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
FATE Fate Therapeutics
11x36.3%US$148.1m
MCRB Seres Therapeutics
1.1x-35.8%US$144.3m
AMRN Amarin
1x-3.9%US$237.1m
XOMA XOMA Royalty
14.5x30.0%US$313.5m
ALEC Alector
2.6x14.4%US$162.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALEC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ALEC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

139 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.10.0x18.2%
ALEC Alector
 2.6x14.4%US$162.57m
BIIB Biogen
2.2x1.2%US$20.97b
MRNA Moderna
3x10.2%US$15.17b
ALEC 2.6xIndustry Avg. 10.0xNo. of Companies139PS01632486480+
139 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.10.0x27.3%
ALEC Alector
 2.6x16.8%US$162.57m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALEC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (10x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALEC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALEC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALEC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALEC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.66
US$4.59
+176.2%
59.0%US$9.60US$1.00n/a7
Jan ’26US$1.89
US$5.51
+191.7%
63.9%US$12.00US$1.00n/a8
Dec ’25US$2.59
US$8.07
+211.5%
47.0%US$15.00US$3.00n/a9
Nov ’25US$5.02
US$15.44
+207.7%
61.9%US$35.00US$4.00n/a9
Oct ’25US$4.55
US$15.44
+239.4%
61.9%US$35.00US$4.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$5.28
US$15.44
+192.5%
61.9%US$35.00US$4.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$5.72
US$15.44
+170.0%
61.9%US$35.00US$4.00n/a9
Jul ’25US$4.42
US$15.44
+249.4%
61.9%US$35.00US$4.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$4.92
US$15.44
+213.9%
61.9%US$35.00US$4.00n/a9
May ’25US$5.28
US$16.22
+207.2%
68.6%US$41.00US$4.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$6.16
US$15.80
+156.5%
67.3%US$41.00US$4.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$7.41
US$15.80
+113.2%
67.3%US$41.00US$4.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$6.11
US$15.80
+158.6%
67.3%US$41.00US$4.00US$1.6610
Jan ’25US$7.98
US$15.80
+98.0%
67.3%US$41.00US$4.00US$1.8910
Dec ’24US$5.56
US$15.20
+173.4%
71.5%US$41.00US$4.00US$2.5910
Nov ’24US$5.46
US$15.30
+180.2%
70.7%US$41.00US$4.00US$5.0210
Oct ’24US$6.48
US$15.40
+137.7%
69.9%US$41.00US$4.00US$4.5510
Sep ’24US$5.57
US$17.13
+207.5%
65.2%US$41.00US$8.00US$5.288
Aug ’24US$6.91
US$17.50
+153.3%
61.1%US$41.00US$10.00US$5.728
Jul ’24US$6.01
US$15.38
+155.8%
64.1%US$41.00US$10.00US$4.428
Jun ’24US$6.83
US$14.33
+109.9%
68.0%US$41.00US$6.00US$4.929
May ’24US$6.68
US$16.60
+148.5%
67.5%US$41.00US$6.00US$5.289
Apr ’24US$6.19
US$16.82
+171.8%
66.0%US$41.00US$6.00US$6.169
Mar ’24US$8.80
US$17.44
+98.2%
58.9%US$41.00US$6.00US$7.4110
Feb ’24US$9.16
US$21.24
+131.9%
70.6%US$54.00US$6.00US$6.1110
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
US$4.59
Fair Value
63.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 18:35
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alector, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alec StranahanBofA Global Research
Gregory HarrisonBofA Global Research
Thomas ShraderBTIG