Nine Entertainment Holdings Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of NNMT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

NNMT.F ($0.78) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($2.55)

Is NNMT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NNMT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NNMT.F ($0.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NNMT.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NNMT.F?

Key metric: As NNMT.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NNMT.F. This is calculated by dividing NNMT.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NNMT.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	18x
Earnings	AU$110.90m
Market Cap	AU$2.03b

NNMT.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.3x
PEG Ratio	1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NNMT.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NNMT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	7.4x
TGNA TEGNA	6.1x	-13.6%	US$3.0b
GTN Gray Television	2.9x	-29.4%	US$440.1m
AMCX AMC Networks	11.5x	19.7%	US$415.2m
NXST Nexstar Media Group	9.1x	5.0%	US$5.3b
NNMT.F Nine Entertainment Holdings	18x	17.1%	US$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NNMT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NNMT.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
DISH DISH Network	2.5x	-71.9%	US$3.08b
GTN Gray Television	2.9x	-29.4%	US$440.14m
SGRP SPAR Group	4x	-89.1%	US$49.16m
ABLV Able View Global	4x	n/a	US$37.47m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NNMT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the US Media industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NNMT.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NNMT.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NNMT.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NNMT.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	US$0.78	US$1.03 +31.6%	23.2%	US$1.61	US$0.74	n/a	10
Nov ’25	US$0.82	US$1.16 +41.7%	21.4%	US$1.78	US$0.82	n/a	11
Oct ’25	n/a	US$1.23 0%	22.0%	US$1.86	US$0.86	n/a	10
Sep ’25	n/a	US$1.25 0%	22.7%	US$1.84	US$0.84	n/a	11
Aug ’25	n/a	US$1.29 0%	17.7%	US$1.77	US$0.98	n/a	11
Jul ’25	n/a	US$1.34 0%	16.2%	US$1.80	US$1.08	n/a	11
Jun ’25	n/a	US$1.36 0%	16.4%	US$1.80	US$1.09	n/a	11
May ’25	n/a	US$1.34 0%	15.1%	US$1.75	US$1.06	n/a	11
Apr ’25	n/a	US$1.37 0%	14.1%	US$1.77	US$1.08	n/a	11
Mar ’25	n/a	US$1.38 0%	14.6%	US$1.77	US$1.04	n/a	11
Feb ’25	n/a	US$1.47 0%	11.4%	US$1.85	US$1.26	n/a	10
Jan ’25	n/a	US$1.53 0%	10.6%	US$1.91	US$1.33	n/a	10
Dec ’24	n/a	US$1.46 0%	10.3%	US$1.82	US$1.27	n/a	11
Nov ’24	n/a	US$1.51 0%	11.9%	US$1.80	US$1.25	US$0.82	11
Oct ’24	US$1.70	US$1.51 -11.5%	11.9%	US$1.80	US$1.25	n/a	11
Sep ’24	n/a	US$1.51 0%	11.9%	US$1.80	US$1.25	n/a	11
Aug ’24	n/a	US$1.55 0%	12.6%	US$1.85	US$1.18	n/a	11
Jul ’24	n/a	US$1.61 0%	15.4%	US$2.10	US$1.20	n/a	11
Jun ’24	n/a	US$1.65 0%	16.6%	US$2.05	US$1.17	n/a	12
May ’24	n/a	US$1.72 0%	16.2%	US$2.15	US$1.23	n/a	11
Apr ’24	n/a	US$1.71 0%	15.7%	US$2.15	US$1.23	n/a	12
Mar ’24	n/a	US$1.77 0%	16.8%	US$2.19	US$1.25	n/a	12
Feb ’24	n/a	US$1.89 0%	17.4%	US$2.46	US$1.38	n/a	12
Jan ’24	n/a	US$1.79 0%	15.0%	US$2.15	US$1.28	n/a	11
Dec ’23	n/a	US$1.85 0%	16.5%	US$2.34	US$1.28	n/a	11
Nov ’23	n/a	US$1.85 0%	15.7%	US$2.24	US$1.30	n/a	11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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