Roblox Valuation

Is RBLX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RBLX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RBLX ($52.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($112.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RBLX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RBLX?

Key metric: As RBLX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RBLX. This is calculated by dividing RBLX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RBLX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio10.2x
SalesUS$3.36b
Market CapUS$32.90b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RBLX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RBLX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software
6x14.4%US$33.1b
EA Electronic Arts
5.9x5.4%US$42.9b
SE Sea
4.2x15.0%US$65.4b
SCPL SciPlay
0.7x4.0%US$2.9b
RBLX Roblox
10.2x18.2%US$32.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RBLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.2x) compared to the peer average (5.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RBLX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

21 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMC AMC Entertainment Holdings
0.4x9.0%US$1.86b
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
0.08x34.4%US$76.65m
RDI Reading International
0.2x11.2%US$41.85m
SJ Scienjoy Holding
0.2xn/aUS$38.79m
RBLX 10.2xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies21PS0246810+
21 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RBLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.2x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (1.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RBLX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RBLX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio10.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RBLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RBLX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$52.16
US$55.69
+6.8%
18.0%US$70.00US$26.00n/a30
Nov ’25US$51.44
US$52.70
+2.5%
19.6%US$70.00US$26.00n/a30
Oct ’25US$43.53
US$46.12
+5.9%
16.4%US$60.00US$26.00n/a29
Sep ’25US$43.99
US$45.10
+2.5%
16.2%US$60.00US$26.00n/a29
Aug ’25US$38.85
US$43.80
+12.7%
17.0%US$60.00US$26.00n/a29
Jul ’25US$37.06
US$41.87
+13.0%
17.9%US$60.00US$25.00n/a28
Jun ’25US$33.62
US$41.91
+24.7%
18.3%US$60.00US$25.00n/a28
May ’25US$36.58
US$50.33
+37.6%
16.5%US$65.00US$29.00n/a29
Apr ’25US$37.84
US$50.20
+32.7%
16.6%US$65.00US$29.00n/a29
Mar ’25US$41.32
US$49.76
+20.4%
17.1%US$65.00US$29.00n/a30
Feb ’25US$39.33
US$45.24
+15.0%
20.2%US$60.00US$26.00n/a30
Jan ’25US$45.72
US$44.08
-3.6%
22.5%US$60.00US$23.00n/a29
Dec ’24US$40.45
US$43.58
+7.7%
22.9%US$60.00US$23.00US$50.1328
Nov ’24US$31.84
US$39.18
+23.0%
25.0%US$60.00US$23.00US$51.4430
Oct ’24US$28.96
US$39.25
+35.5%
25.6%US$60.00US$23.00US$43.5329
Sep ’24US$28.44
US$39.64
+39.4%
26.0%US$60.00US$22.00US$43.9927
Aug ’24US$39.43
US$43.98
+11.5%
26.0%US$65.00US$22.00US$38.8527
Jul ’24US$40.30
US$43.87
+8.9%
26.1%US$65.00US$22.00US$37.0627
Jun ’24US$42.13
US$43.56
+3.4%
27.2%US$65.00US$19.00US$33.6226
May ’24US$36.00
US$44.10
+22.5%
29.5%US$65.00US$19.00US$36.5825
Apr ’24US$44.98
US$43.82
-2.6%
29.8%US$65.00US$19.00US$37.8425
Mar ’24US$37.48
US$42.90
+14.5%
31.9%US$65.00US$14.00US$41.3225
Feb ’24US$38.24
US$38.04
-0.5%
37.8%US$71.00US$14.00US$39.3326
Jan ’24US$28.46
US$39.46
+38.7%
34.5%US$71.00US$20.00US$45.7225
Dec ’23US$33.39
US$41.78
+25.1%
31.7%US$71.00US$20.00US$40.4523

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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