Stock Analysis

Is Roblox (NYSE:RBLX) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:RBLX
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Roblox Corporation (NYSE:RBLX) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Roblox

How Much Debt Does Roblox Carry?

As you can see below, Roblox had US$1.01b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$2.19b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$1.19b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:RBLX Debt to Equity History February 9th 2024

How Strong Is Roblox's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Roblox had liabilities of US$3.05b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$3.05b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$2.19b in cash and US$505.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.40b.

Of course, Roblox has a titanic market capitalization of US$28.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Roblox boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Roblox can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Roblox wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 26%, to US$2.8b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

So How Risky Is Roblox?

Although Roblox had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of US$124m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. One positive is that Roblox is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Roblox (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Roblox is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.