Stock Analysis

iHuman Inc.'s (NYSE:IH) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

NYSE:IH
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iHuman Inc. (NYSE:IH) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 47%.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think iHuman's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in the United States' Entertainment industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for iHuman

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:IH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 29th 2023

How Has iHuman Performed Recently?

iHuman could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on iHuman will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is iHuman's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, iHuman would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.9% gain to the company's revenues. While this performance is only fair, the company was still able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.6% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that iHuman's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does iHuman's P/S Mean For Investors?

iHuman's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given that iHuman's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for iHuman with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if iHuman might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.