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TuanChe Limited's (NASDAQ:TC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 32%
TuanChe Limited (NASDAQ:TC) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 76% share price decline over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, TuanChe may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Media industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for TuanChe
How Has TuanChe Performed Recently?
For example, consider that TuanChe's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TuanChe's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For TuanChe?
TuanChe's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 51% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.0% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that TuanChe is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Despite TuanChe's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of TuanChe revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware TuanChe is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those don't sit too well with us.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TuanChe, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TuanChe might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:TC
TuanChe
Through its subsidiaries, operates as an omni-channel automotive marketplace in the People’s Republic of China.
Slight and slightly overvalued.