Sirius XM Holdings Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Sirius XM Holdings's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -24.6%, while the Media industry saw earnings growing at 5.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 0.04% per year. Sirius XM Holdings's return on equity is 7.2%, and it has net margins of 9.9%.
Key information
-24.58%
Earnings growth rate
-22.81%
EPS growth rate
| Media Industry Growth | 13.17% |
| Revenue growth rate | 0.04% |
| Return on equity | 7.21% |
| Net Margin | 9.86% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 02
SIRI: Mixed Research, Merger Talks And Buybacks Will Shape Forward Risk Reward
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Sirius XM Holdings to $27.77 from $24.23, reflecting updates to their revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in light of recent price target increases across several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sirius XM Holdings has clustered around higher price targets and one rating upgrade, alongside at least one downgrade, giving you a mix of optimism and caution to weigh.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Sirius XM's Weird Space Rally Explained
Summary Sirius XM remains undervalued at 8.45x forward EPS and a 4.13% yield, despite a 40% YTD rally. SIRI's spectrum assets may unlock new growth via regulatory changes enabling spectrum leasing for emergent space operations. The company is poised for $1.35 billion FCF in 2026 (15.3% yield), with buybacks likely to resume as debt declines. Potential spectrum monetization, regulatory catalysts, and possible post-2026 acquisition position SIRI as more than a legacy media value trap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 18
SIRI: Execution And Completed Buybacks Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Narrative Update on Sirius XM Holdings The analyst price target for Sirius XM Holdings has been maintained at $24.23. Recent mixed research views, including an upgrade, a downgrade, and a neutral initiation, are reflected in modest adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions rather than a headline target change.
Narrative Update • Apr 04
SIRI: Recent Upgrade And Completed Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have slightly adjusted their Sirius XM view, nudging the average price target to $31.00. This change is supported by mixed recent research that includes an upgrade, a downgrade, and a new neutral initiation, reflecting differing opinions on growth, profitability, and valuation assumptions.Narrative Update • Mar 21
SIRI: Execution And Buybacks Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Narrative Update on Sirius XM Holdings The updated analyst price target for Sirius XM Holdings has been refined to $24.23 per share, with analysts pointing to modest shifts in discount rate assumptions and a slightly lower forward P/E outlook, informed by a recent mix of upgrades, downgrades, and neutral initiations on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sirius XM Holdings reflects a split view, with one upgrade, one downgrade, and a neutral initiation all contributing to the updated price target of US$24.23.Narrative Update • Mar 07
SIRI: Recent Upgrade And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Repricing
Narrative Update: Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) The updated analyst price target for Sirius XM has moved from $30.00 to $31.00, reflecting how analysts are weighing a slightly lower discount rate, modest tweaks to long term growth and margin assumptions, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations following recent mixed research views on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sirius XM has been mixed, but there are some clear positives that help explain why the updated analyst price target has edged higher.Narrative Update • Feb 20
SIRI: Share Repurchases And Cash Returns Will Shape Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Sirius XM Holdings has edged up from about $24.00 to roughly $24.23, with analysts pointing to slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a modestly higher future P/E, and revised views reflected in recent upgrades, downgrades, and neutral initiations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sirius XM Holdings shows a mix of optimism and caution, with views ranging from a fresh upgrade at JPMorgan to a more bearish stance and a neutral initiation.Analysis Article • Feb 12
We Like Sirius XM Holdings' (NASDAQ:SIRI) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SIRI ) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged...
Narrative Update • Feb 06
SIRI: Softer Margins And Rich P/E Will Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have kept their average price target for Sirius XM Holdings steady at US$18.00. Recent research cites a lower assumed discount rate, slightly softer profit margin expectations and a higher future P/E multiple, alongside mixed views reflected in a downgrade from Seaport Research and a neutral initiation from MoffettNathanson.Narrative Update • Jan 23
SIRI: Updated Guidance And Podcast Talks Will Support Future Share Repricing
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Sirius XM Holdings has moved from $19 to $20, with analysts citing updated company guidance and refreshed modeling assumptions, including changes to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin estimates, and forward P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan raised its price target for Sirius XM Holdings to US$20 from US$19 and kept an Underweight rating after updating its model for the company’s latest guidance.Narrative Update • Jan 09
SIRI: Podcast Licensing Talks And Cash Returns Will Shape Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target for Sirius XM Holdings higher to US$20 from US$19, citing updated company guidance that resulted in modest refinements in growth, margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan's move to lift its price target for Sirius XM Holdings to US$20 from US$19, while keeping an Underweight rating, highlights how updated company guidance is feeding into revised growth, margin and P/E assumptions rather than a clear shift in overall stance.Narrative Update • Dec 14
SIRI: Podcast Licensing And Cash Returns Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts modestly increased their price target on Sirius XM Holdings to $20 from $19, citing updated company guidance that led to refined modeling assumptions around growth, margins, and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Analysts reacted to the updated guidance by refining their models around subscriber trends, margins, and capital allocation, resulting in a modestly higher valuation framework for Sirius XM Holdings.Narrative Update • Nov 29
SIRI: Upcoming Podcast Licensing Deals Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for Sirius XM Holdings by $1, increasing it from $19 to $20. This change is based on updates to the company's model in light of new financial guidance.Narrative Update • Nov 15
SIRI: Recurring Revenue Strength And New Partnerships Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have increased their price target for Sirius XM Holdings from $19 to $20. This change reflects updated financial guidance and an improved outlook for revenue growth and profitability.Narrative Update • Nov 01
SIRI: Updated Content Deals And Talent Renewals Will Drive Balanced Performance Ahead
The analyst price target for Sirius XM Holdings has been raised, with the consensus moving up approximately $1. This change reflects updated guidance and easing concerns over operating results, according to analysts.Analysis Article • Oct 28
Sirius XM Holdings (NASDAQ:SIRI) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.27
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SIRI ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.27 per share on 21st of...Narrative Update • Oct 17
Expanding In-Car Digital Subscriptions Will Fuel Future Audio Success
Analysts have modestly increased their price targets for Sirius XM Holdings. Recent updates reflect a range between $20 and $28 per share, citing stable operating results, improvements in free cash flow, and ongoing revenue challenges noted after the second quarter report.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Expanding In-Car Digital Subscriptions Will Fuel Future Audio Success
Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Sirius XM Holdings, with recent updates ranging from a reduction of $1 to $20 to an increase of $1 to $23. These changes reflect mixed expectations driven by improving free cash flow as well as ongoing challenges in subscriber growth and advertising.Narrative Update • Sep 17
Expanding In-Car Digital Subscriptions Will Fuel Future Audio Success
Analysts maintained Sirius XM Holdings' price target unchanged at $23.64, as improving free cash flow and minimal Stern-exit risk are balanced by ongoing ad revenue and subscriber growth headwinds, with valuation factoring in modest operational revisions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see minimal operational or share price impact from a possible Howard Stern exit, citing SiriusXM's ownership of Stern content rights and robust audio personality roster (e.g., Stephen A.Narrative Update • Sep 02
Expanding In-Car Digital Subscriptions Will Fuel Future Audio Success
Sirius XM's consensus price target remained unchanged at $23.64 as improved free cash flow and minimal risk from Howard Stern's potential departure balanced ongoing concerns about streaming subscriber growth and weak ad revenue, leading analysts to maintain a cautious near-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Minimal expected impact from a potential Howard Stern departure, as Sirius XM retains rights to Stern's content and continues to sign high-profile talent.Narrative Update • Aug 19
Expanding In-Car Digital Subscriptions Will Fuel Future Audio Success
Analysts maintained Sirius XM Holdings’ price target at $23.64 as improved Q2 results and solid free cash flow were offset by concerns over future guidance, sluggish streaming-only subscriber growth, and persistent ad revenue weakness. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see minimal impact on operating results or share price from a potential Howard Stern departure, with SiriusXM retaining exclusive rights and introducing other prominent audio personalities.Analysis Article • Jul 10
Is Sirius XM Holdings (NASDAQ:SIRI) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 29
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SIRI) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
There wouldn't be many who think Sirius XM Holdings Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SIRI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is...Seeking Alpha • Mar 28
Sirius XM: A Market-Beating Opportunity Backed By Buffett
Summary Sirius XM offers a predictable revenue stream through its subscription-based model and has strong operating margins and cash flow. Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway owns 35% of SIRI. Despite lower returns on capital recently, the Company has historically had strong capital returns, making it a solid value pick. Sirius XM's current low stock price makes it an attractive investment, with an earnings yield higher than the current risk-free rate. Risks include potential impairments from mergers and acquisitions, but SIRI's strategy and investments in exclusive content could drive growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNew Narrative • Mar 27
Negative equity is not always a negative
This is a negative equity company.....it's debt load is not a burden but it's investment vehicle. You CAN argue if a catastrophic event happens Siri is underwater (like covid). However, looking forwarSeeking Alpha • Feb 21
Sirius XM: Investors Should Listen To The Strong Technicals And Attractive Valuation
Summary The technicals are strong for Sirius XM Holdings, as the vast majority of indications and signals point towards further strength. The latest results were slightly mixed, with revenue growth being weak, but 2025 full-year guidance was promising. After evaluating the P/S and P/FCF ratios, the stock seems undervalued at current levels as the major improvements in FCF growth are not reflected. I initiate SIRI stock at a buy rating with the technicals being bullish and the fundamentals offering a favourable setup. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Join Berkshire, Buy More Sirius XM Holdings Stock
Summary Berkshire Hathaway Inc. has a substantial stake in Sirius XM Holdings Inc., indicating confidence in its potential despite current challenges. Sirius XM must improve its advertising revenue and cost savings to enhance margins and overall financial health. The primary risk is Sirius XM's struggle to compete with Spotify and adapt to a rapidly changing market. Investing in SIRI stock is recommended due to its ongoing efforts to improve business reliability and financials. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 06
Sirius XM: What Is Berkshire's Endgame?
Summary Given the depressed trading levels of Sirius XM's stock, recent news of continuous position increments at Berkshire Hathaway has led to a robust rally. Many readers have asked me what Berkshire's endgame might be. In this article, I will shed some light on the genesis of Berkshire's large position in SIRI stock and try to formulate a high-probability hypothesis on its goals. I believe this analysis to be also useful to inform investor's own game plans regarding their SIRI investments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 11
Sirius XM's Strategy Shift Reveals Its Struggles
Summary Sirius XM communicated an important strategic shift which somewhat justifies long-existing investor scepticism. Even the good news related to the inclusion of the Sirius XM streaming app in Teslas can be construed as a mixed bag. The company now looks with little doubt like a "melting ice cube" type of investment with almost no hope for significant growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 03
Why I Disagree With Buffett On Sirius XM
Summary Berkshire Hathaway's latest darling, Sirius XM, is likely a mistake. I look at why SIRI does not meet Berkshire Hathaway's standards. I present the Company's eroding moat and competitive position. Investors should sell or stay away. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 21
Sirius XM: Buffett's New Darling
Summary Sirius XM Holdings Inc.'s split from Liberty Media and simplified capital structure make it a compelling investment and brand rebuilding opportunities. The company aims to increase subscribers from 40 million to 50 million, boosting free cash flow to $1.8 billion annually. Berkshire Hathaway's big investment in the stock has been mostly overlooked due to the $10 billion in net debt and declining revenues. Sirius XM's 4.3% dividend yield and potential for significant share repurchases and debt reduction enhance its attractiveness as a value investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 01
Sirius XM: A Deep Look Into Its Future
Summary A closer look at the bear thesis for Sirius XM reveals the fear of a rapid deterioration. However, Q3/24 earnings show a rather stable picture. Looking deeper into the future and analyzing Sirius XM's investments and strategy, we can see that the company is well positioned for at least decent growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 22
Sirius XM: A Buffett Business With Secret 5G Play
Summary Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway increased its stake in Sirius XM to 32%, signaling strong long-term confidence in the company's future. Sirius XM's 4G and 5G satellite streaming capabilities present significant growth opportunities, especially in the autonomous vehicle market. Despite Wall Street's bearish outlook, Sirius XM's hidden potential in satellite data streaming makes it a compelling value play with substantial upside. Post spin-out from Liberty Media, Sirius XM's robust financial position and new ventures in 4G/5G streaming are poised to drive future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 15
Sirius XM Earnings: I Don't See A Turnaround Yet
Summary Sirius XM's share price is declining despite Berkshire Hathaway's investments, with competition and lack of growth posing significant challenges. Q3 earnings are expected to be flat, with analysts predicting $0.68-0.75 EPS on $2.19B revenue, continuing the trend of no growth. SIRI needs innovation to drive top-line growth and attract more subscribers. High debt and inefficient management hinder profitability; focusing on debt reduction and operational improvements is crucial for a potential turnaround. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 26
Innovative Subscription Strategies And AI Efficiency Meet Analysts' Revenue Concerns And Market Skepticism
Introduction of new subscription models and SiriusXM Free Access aims to increase subscriber base and advertising revenue through enhanced engagement and trials.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Sirius XM Holdings makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 8,581 | 846 | 1,306 | 259 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 8,558 | 805 | 1,309 | 263 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 8,553 | 993 | 1,306 | 263 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 8,565 | -1,759 | 1,357 | 268 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 8,605 | -1,660 | 1,350 | 283 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 8,699 | -1,665 | 1,391 | 296 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 8,799 | -1,780 | 1,468 | 312 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 8,899 | 909 | 1,488 | 317 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 8,971 | 752 | 1,521 | 329 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 8,953 | 786 | 1,539 | 322 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 8,948 | 979 | 1,504 | 311 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 8,957 | 992 | 1,541 | 308 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 8,961 | 1,137 | 1,576 | 297 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 9,003 | 908 | 1,614 | 285 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 9,001 | 1,167 | 1,689 | 276 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 8,919 | 1,263 | 1,670 | 274 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 8,824 | 1,404 | 1,627 | 268 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 8,691 | 1,314 | 1,570 | 265 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 8,604 | 318 | 1,548 | 264 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 8,431 | 247 | 1,507 | 261 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 8,146 | 57 | 1,474 | 256 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 8,040 | 131 | 1,468 | 263 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 7,913 | 1,051 | 1,455 | 270 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 7,899 | 1,025 | 1,459 | 284 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 8,002 | 1,045 | 1,475 | 297 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 7,794 | 914 | 1,461 | 280 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 7,228 | 922 | 1,232 | 240 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 6,685 | 1,019 | 1,080 | 193 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 6,140 | 1,049 | 939 | 146 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 5,771 | 1,176 | 838 | 123 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 5,679 | 888 | 816 | 120 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 5,590 | 821 | 808 | 119 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 5,506 | 730 | 789 | 120 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 5,425 | 648 | 773 | 112 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 5,324 | 890 | 764 | 106 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 5,222 | 808 | 755 | 95 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 5,110 | 781 | 737 | 87 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 5,017 | 746 | 728 | 82 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 4,910 | 676 | 732 | 75 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 4,802 | 649 | 701 | 72 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 4,690 | 576 | 687 | 69 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 4,570 | 510 | 679 | 64 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 4,465 | 518 | 643 | 62 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 4,352 | 488 | 645 | 62 |
Quality Earnings: SIRI has a large one-off loss of $381.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: SIRI became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: SIRI's earnings have declined by 24.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: SIRI has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: SIRI has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Media industry (5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: SIRI's Return on Equity (7.2%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/22 12:05 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Noel Milner | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Patrick Sholl | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |
| Matthew Harrigan | Benchmark Company |